NorthwestProgressiveInstituteWhy the Republicans are probably toast this November
2025 special and odd-year election results paint an ominous picture for Republicans in the coming midterm elections.
Poll Watch: Emerson College finds majority support for Gavin Newsom’s Election Rigging Response Act among California voters
51% of 1,000 California voters surveyed in September of 2025 say they'd vote yes on Proposition 50 if the election were being held now, while 34% would vote no. 15% said they were undecided. Among voters "very likely" to vote in November, support reached 55%.
Poll Watch: Emerson College finds majority support for Gavin Newsom's Election Rigging Response Act among California voters - NPI's Cascadia Advocate
51% of 1,000 California voters surveyed in September of 2025 say they'd vote yes on Proposition 50 if the election were being held now, while 34% would vote no. 15% said they were undecided. Among voters "very likely" to vote in November, support reached 55%.
Chad Magendanz and Voter Science LLC are writing push polls instead of adhering to the scientific method, screenshots show
A series of images provided to the Northwest Progressive Institute shows the loaded questions that the former Republican state legislator is posing to voters in Washington State's 5th Legislative District, a key battleground.
#PollWatch #WA-Leg
Chad Magendanz and Voter Science LLC are writing push polls instead of adhering to the scientific method, screenshots show - NPI's Cascadia Advocate
A series of images provided to the Northwest Progressive Institute shows the loaded questions that the former Republican state legislator is posing to voters in Washington State's 5th Legislative District, a key battleground.
More pseudodata: The Washington State Republican Party says it polled WA-03 with Voter Science LLC, but won’t show its work
Chairman Jim Walsh's executive director Matthew Frolich claims that the party has data showing U.S. Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez losing to three different Republican candidates, only one of whom has launched a campaign so far. But there's no reason to believe the numbers are any good.
#PollWatch #WA-03
More pseudodata: The Washington State Republican Party says it polled WA-03 with Voter Science LLC, but won't show its work - NPI's Cascadia Advocate
Chairman Jim Walsh's executive director Matthew Frolich claims that the party has data showing U.S. Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez losing to three different Republican candidates, only one of whom has launched a campaign so far. But there's no reason to believe the numbers are any good.
Poll Watch: Americans are becoming increasingly unsatisfied with Donald Trump
Not only do voters believe Trump has failed to solve problems they believe to be very pressing, they associate him with things they think will make their lives worse, like his tariffs and his empowering of DOGE and Elon Musk.
Poll Watch: Americans are becoming increasingly unsatisfied with Donald Trump - NPI's Cascadia Advocate
Not only do voters believe Trump has failed to solve problems they believe to be very pressing, they associate him with things they think will make their lives worse, like his tariffs and his empowering of DOGE and Elon Musk.
Poll Watch: Washington State gets an Elway special as ballots drop in the 2024 presidential election
Read NPI's assessment of Stuart Elway's October 2024 poll of likely voters, which fielded
#PollWatch #US-Pres #WA-Ballot #WA-Exec
Can you believe the polls? It depends
"A veteran of survey research explains why high-quality polling matters — and warns of the proliferation of shoddy gimmicks," Ula Chrobak writes for Knowable Magazine.
https://www.nwprogressive.org/microblog/2024/09/can-you-believe-the-polls-it-depends/
Turns out SurveyUSA’s July initiative polling is just issue polling: Washington voters weren’t shown the official ballot titles
The nonpartisan pollster for The Seattle Times, KING5, and the UW's Center for an Informed Public indefensibly chose not to use the actual language voters will see on their ballots on this autumn when asking them to weigh in on Initiatives 2066, 2109, 2117, and 2124. Here's why that's a problem.
#PermanentDefense #PollWatch #WA-Ballot
Turns out SurveyUSA's July initiative polling is just issue polling: Washington voters weren't shown the official ballot titles - NPI's Cascadia Advocate
The nonpartisan pollster for The Seattle Times, KING5, and the UW's Center for an Informed Public indefensibly chose not to use the actual language voters will see on their ballots on this autumn when asking them to weigh in on Initiatives 2066, 2109, 2117, and 2124. Here's why that's a problem.
New SurveyUSA WA Poll corroborates NPI’s research finding Bob Ferguson and Maria Cantwell on a winning trajectory
A credible, media-sponsored poll of 564 voters determined to be likely to vote in the August 6th Top Two election has yielded very good news for the Washington State Democratic Party.
#PollWatch #WA-Gov #WA-Sen
New SurveyUSA WA Poll corroborates NPI's research finding Bob Ferguson and Maria Cantwell on a winning trajectory - NPI's Cascadia Advocate
A credible, media-sponsored poll of 564 voters determined to be likely to vote in the August 6th Top Two election has yielded very good news for the Washington State Democratic Party.
Poll Watch: Elway delivers more bad news for Brian Heywood and Jim Walsh’s slate of destructive initiatives
Elway's survey is the first independent public poll that we know that has looked at these measures. Here's an analysis from NPI of each of Elway's findings.
#PollWatch #WA-Ballot #WA-Exec