The Bank of Korea is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.50% at the January MPC meeting, with market participants focusing on Governor Rhee Chang-yong’s remarks for any hawkish signals, while the impact on the FX and swap markets is expected to be limited as a rate hold is fully priced in.
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[January MPC D-1] Scenarios for the FX Market
The Bank of Korea is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.50% at the January MPC meeting, with market participants focusing on Governor Rhee Chang-yong’s remarks for any hawkish signals, while the impact on the FX and swap markets is expected to be limited as a rate hold is fully priced in.
The dollar-won exchange rate surged past 1,440 won on October 23 amid a strong US dollar and a weak KOSPI, as the Bank of Korea held rates steady and Governor Rhee flagged rising dollar demand, prompting volatility in the currency market.
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[Seoul Foreign Exchange Market]Strong Dollar, KOSPI Weakness Pushes Won Past 1,440 Mark—Up 9.90 Won
The dollar-won exchange rate surged past 1,440 won on October 23 amid a strong US dollar and a weak KOSPI, as the Bank of Korea held rates steady and Governor Rhee flagged rising dollar demand, prompting volatility in the currency market.
South Korea's bond market remains cautious ahead of the Bank of Korea's October policy meeting, as Governor Rhee signals flexibility amid real estate concerns and global institutions predict a rate hold. Foreign investors increased KTB futures purchases, while attention shifts to upcoming APEC and tariff talks.
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[Son Ji-hyun's Bond Analysis] Two Days of Market Caution
South Korea's bond market remains cautious ahead of the Bank of Korea's October policy meeting, as Governor Rhee signals flexibility amid real estate concerns and global institutions predict a rate hold. Foreign investors increased KTB futures purchases, while attention shifts to upcoming APEC and tariff talks.
3-Year Treasury Futures Extend Losses as Foreign Investors Increase Net Selling (Update)
Treasury futures extend losses as foreign investors increase net selling following Bank of Korea's monetary policy meeting and Governor Rhee's press conference
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