South Korean and global financial institutions forecast the 2026 USD/KRW exchange rate to average in the low 1,400s, with WGBI inclusion and overseas investment trends shaping the outlook amid persistent structural dollar demand and global uncertainties.
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[2026 Exchange Rate Outlook-①] Few See High 1,300s; Most Expect Early 1,400s
South Korean and global financial institutions forecast the 2026 USD/KRW exchange rate to average in the low 1,400s, with WGBI inclusion and overseas investment trends shaping the outlook amid persistent structural dollar demand and global uncertainties.
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'Why Sell When the Dollar Could Go Higher'—FX Managers at Exporters Caught Between Market and Management
South Korean exporters are delaying dollar sales as the USD/KRW rate hovers above 1,470, with management and FX teams divided on timing amid strong exports and market uncertainty.
Yonhap InfomaxThe dollar-won exchange rate remains elevated above 1,400 won, with analysts expecting only limited short-term declines even if South Korea-US tariff talks are resolved, citing persistent dollar strength and robust demand.
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How Much Could the Dollar-Won Rate Fall If Tariff Talks Are Resolved?
The dollar-won exchange rate remains elevated above 1,400 won, with analysts expecting only limited short-term declines even if South Korea-US tariff talks are resolved, citing persistent dollar strength and robust demand.
Yonhap InfomaxAnalysts warn that proxy hedge demand linked to Taiwan dollar strength could continue to pressure the Korean won, especially if US Treasury comments or further rate cuts spur volatility in the dollar-won exchange rate.
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'Proxy Hedge Not Over Yet' – Watch for US Treasury, Taiwan Dollar Strength
Analysts warn that proxy hedge demand linked to Taiwan dollar strength could continue to pressure the Korean won, especially if US Treasury comments or further rate cuts spur volatility in the dollar-won exchange rate.
Yonhap InfomaxSouth Korea’s won is expected to trade near 1,360 per dollar as robust US jobs data tempers Fed rate cut hopes, while US-China trade talks and continued foreign inflows support downward pressure on the exchange rate.
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[Today's Forex Dealer Expected Exchange Rate Range]Dollar-Won Expected to Trade Near 1,360 as US Jobs Data Tempers Fed Rate Cut Bets
South Korea’s won is expected to trade near 1,360 per dollar as robust US jobs data tempers Fed rate cut hopes, while US-China trade talks and continued foreign inflows support downward pressure on the exchange rate.
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Shinhan Bank Expects June USD-KRW to Trade Between 1,350 and 1,400 Won on Hopes for US Tariff Negotiations
Shinhan Bank projects the USD-KRW exchange rate will fall to 1,350–1,400 won in June, citing optimism over US tariff negotiations and shifting global capital flows.
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Shinhan Bank Raises Dollar-Won Average Exchange Rate Forecast by 85 Won After Four Months - Q2 Upper Limit at 1,500 Won
Shinhan Bank raises dollar-won exchange rate forecast significantly, citing increased political risks and potential for volatility in the foreign exchange market
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