'GDPNow' Model Maintains Robust Q4 US Growth Estimate—Revised Up Slightly to 5.4%
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model raised its Q4 2023 US growth estimate to 5.4%, reflecting stronger consumer spending and investment, outpacing private forecasts.
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model sharply raised its estimate for US Q4 2025 GDP growth to 5.4% annualized, citing stronger net exports and personal consumption, far outpacing private-sector forecasts.
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'GDPNow' Model Doubles US Q4 Growth Estimate to 5.4%—Net Exports Contribution Surges
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model sharply raised its estimate for US Q4 2025 GDP growth to 5.4% annualized, citing stronger net exports and personal consumption, far outpacing private-sector forecasts.
'GDPNow' Model Revises US Q4 2025 Growth Down to 2.7%—Consumption and Investment Weaken
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model revised US Q4 2025 growth down to 2.7% amid weaker consumption and investment, with further adjustments likely as new data emerges.
'GDPNow' Q3 Growth Estimate Edges Down 0.1%p to 3.5%—Mid-3% Range Persists
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model lowered its U.S. Q3 growth estimate to 3.5%, reflecting softer consumer spending and inventories, as markets await official GDP data.
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has revised its Q3 US GDP growth estimate down to 3.5%, reflecting weaker consumer spending and marking a continued trend of downward adjustments from earlier projections above 4%.
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At One Point Above 4%—Atlanta Fed's 'GDPNow' Lowers Q3 US Growth Estimate Again to 3.5%
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has revised its Q3 US GDP growth estimate down to 3.5%, reflecting weaker consumer spending and marking a continued trend of downward adjustments from earlier projections above 4%.
[Global Chart]Despite Cooling Labor Market, US Wage Inflation Remains Stubbornly Flat
US wage inflation remains stubbornly flat at 4.1% despite signs of a cooling labor market, with job switchers seeing the highest wage growth since November 2022, according to Atlanta Fed data.
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model revised its Q3 US GDP growth estimate down to 3.9%, falling below 4% for the first time in a month, as private investment growth slowed and durable goods orders exceeded expectations.
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'GDPNow' Model Revises Q3 US Growth Estimate Lower for Second Consecutive Time—Falls Below 4% for First Time in a Month
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model revised its Q3 US GDP growth estimate down to 3.9%, falling below 4% for the first time in a month, as private investment growth slowed and durable goods orders exceeded expectations.
'GDPNow' Q3 Growth Estimate Revised Down to 4.0%—Consumption and Investment Weaken
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model revised its Q3 U.S. growth estimate down to 4.0% amid weaker consumption and investment, as retail sales and PCE growth slowed.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its initial Q3 GDP estimate on November 23, nearly two months late due to a government shutdown, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projecting 4.2% annualized growth—more than double the Fed’s potential rate estimate.
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US Q3 GDP ‘Initial’ Estimate to Be Released on November 23—Nearly Two-Month Delay
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its initial Q3 GDP estimate on November 23, nearly two months late due to a government shutdown, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model projecting 4.2% annualized growth—more than double the Fed’s potential rate estimate.
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model maintained its Q3 U.S. growth estimate at 4.2%, the highest since projections began, outpacing the Fed's potential rate and reflecting resilient economic indicators despite recent government shutdown disruptions.
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'GDPNow' Holds at 4.2%—Highest Level Since Q3 Estimate Began
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model maintained its Q3 U.S. growth estimate at 4.2%, the highest since projections began, outpacing the Fed's potential rate and reflecting resilient economic indicators despite recent government shutdown disruptions.
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