Im thinking mainly if they manage to get some kind of regulations that make open source impractical for commercial use, or hardware gets too expensive for small hobbyists and bootstrapped startups, or if the large data center models wildly out class open source models. I love using open source models but I can't do what I can do with 1m context opus, and that gap could get worse? Or maybe not, it could close, I don't know for sure, and how long will Chinese companies keep giving out their open source models? Lots of unknowns.

I'm worried about a few big companies owning the means of production for software and tightening the screws.

What are you talking about? How is breaking sales records chickens coming home to roost? Does that phrase not mean the consequences of a bad decision are being realized? If anything isn't this story the opposite, and people aren't that bothered by the software regressions you're concerned about?