Tom Moultrie

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Professor of demography at U Cape Town; cricket; politics. Analyst of South African Covid testing data and excess deaths (2020-)
For the first time in @[email protected] almost 200-year history, academic staff have begun preparations to go on strike over the 3% pay offer for 2023. Other institutions are able to offer 6%.
#UCTAcademicsStrike

RT @[email protected]

Counting #deaths matters for countries.

Our new policy brief shares why and how we can improve #CRVS in the region - https://bit.ly/3XnMuaO

Reaching a regional estimate of death registration completeness

ESCAP serves as the United Nations’ regional hub promoting cooperation among countries to achieve inclusive and sustainable development. It is the largest regional intergovernmental platform with 53 Member States and 9 associate members.

ESCAP

RT @[email protected]

We recognise that our sailors have been active in other more competently designed ships.

However we will no longer allow free promotion of ideas such as tumblehome being a bit shit, the usefulness of stability, or that boilers should be designed to make more steam and less smoke

Apologies for the delay in the weekly deaths and testing summaries - reports from @[email protected] and @[email protected] now released! (Delay due to late release of testing data).
In the week to 3Dec22, 450 excess natural deaths were recorded, bringing the total since 3May20 to 338 300.
The report is available here: The excess deaths report is here: https://www.samrc.ac.za/reports/report-weekly-deaths-south-africa?bc=254. In the week to 3Dec22, natural deaths were 5.6% above expected, ranging from -7.6% in NC to 15.1% in EC.
If you have been following the recent news re ChatGPT (cf https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/12/07/openai-chatgpt-writing-tool-journalism-truth/), this may pose some fairly existential challenges to undergraduate synopsis/synthesis exercises. Here, it delivers 327 (not 500 as asked) words on the demographic dividend in Africa. #poptwitter
And if you think it will generate the same text from an identical query?
The @[email protected] have released their report on testing for SARS-CoV-2 in the week to 26Nov22. That report is here: https://www.nicd.ac.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/COVID-19-Testing-Summary_Week-47.pdf Testing volumes remain low; while proportions testing positive in almost all provinces remain stable.
Natural deaths in the week to 26Nov22 were 7% above expected, ranging from -0.1% in the Western Cape to 16.4% in Limpopo.
For those over the age of 60, deaths were 15.2% above expected.
Unnatural deaths continue to track the expected levels.
Latest @[email protected] and @[email protected] report on excess deaths in South Africa released. 536 excess natural deaths in the week to 26Nov22, bringing the total since 3May20 to 337 747. Report here: https://www.samrc.ac.za/reports/report-weekly-deaths-south-africa?bc=254