@scottjshapiro it is interesting to see that Haley beat her polls by 10% or so. I think that might be under analyzed. Not because she's about to have some come from behind victory.

But because Trump needs to win most of the independents and basically ALL the GOP to win. If even 1/3 of Haley folks no show on election day, it's probably too big a deficit, especially when his strategy is still "go harder right"

@scottjshapiro I wonder how many people voting for Haley are willing to jump ship and vote for Biden. Even if they stayed at home it would be a net positive for Biden.

Though I'm sure most will just for the Republican whomever it is.