@richardgolian

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I wrote about how the system works, what it measures, and how it evaluates itself over time. https://richardgolian.com/article/ai-stock-market-prediction-system
AI Stock Market Prediction: Building My Own Calibrated System | Richard Golian

After three years of tracking market moods in a spreadsheet, I am engineering a calibrated prediction system on my own machine. This is Part 1 — why and how.

Richard Golian
Since 2022 I tracked the market manually in a spreadsheet.
No explicit predictions → nothing to test.
So I used AI to build a system that makes predictions and grades itself.
The record starts today.
#AI #Investing #Quant #StockMarket #MachineLearning
I have delegated more of my thinking than I ever thought possible. https://richardgolian.com/article/will-ai-take-my-job
Will AI Take My Job? A Head of Performance After 22 Months | Richard Golian

Will AI take my job? A Google-certified trainer told me it would. Twenty-two months later my job title is unchanged — but ninety percent of what I do is different. Why I am not afraid, and why most fear is misplaced.

Richard Golian

Will AI take my job?

'Your profession will cease to exist.'

One of the first Google-certified trainers in Slovakia told me this at a tech summit in June 2024. I went quiet. I kept that sentence.
22 months later: my job title has not changed. Ninety percent of my work has.

Not yet. But the job as it was is already gone.

The only thing I brought to it: a clear idea of what it needed to do. https://richardgolian.com/article/claude-code-replaced-50000-euro-software-quote
A Software Firm Quoted €50,000. I Built It With Claude Code in Two Hours. | Richard Golian

A Czech software firm quoted more than €50,000 for a simple customer-facing tool. With Claude Code, I built the same tool in one hour and fifty-five minutes. This is what that gap reveals about software pricing, AI agents, and the next year.

Richard Golian
€50,000 quote from a software firm.
1h 55min to build it myself with Claude Code.
They wanted €2,500 just to tell me what it would cost. I declined.
Most people outside IT have no idea this has already happened.
#ClaudeCode #AIagents #buildinpublic
Is AI Making Us Dumber? What 150 Job Interviews Revealed | Richard Golian

After 150 practical interviews for data and marketing roles, I noticed a pattern — candidates with AI access consistently underperform those from three years ago who had none. The AI productivity paradox is not theoretical — I see it every week.

Richard Golian

3 years ago, 1 in 5 interview candidates scored above 6/10 on my analytical tasks.

Today, with access to the most powerful AI models ever built, I struggle to find anyone above 5.

150 interviews. The pattern is clear.

AI doesn't know when it's wrong. A correct answer and a fabricated one look exactly the same — to you and to the model.

Companies connect these models to emails, invoices, and personal data.

What happens when it makes a decision that costs real money?

https://richardgolian.com/article/what-ai-hides-from-you

What AI Hides: System Prompts, Hallucinations, Alignment and the Concealment Built Into Every Model | Richard Golian

AI models hide their system prompts, training data, confidence levels and alignment decisions from you. Eight layers of concealment — from hallucinations to corporate RLHF instructions — and what it means for businesses deploying autonomous AI agents in critical infrastructure.

Richard Golian
When Your AI Agent Joins the Team — Who Gets to Teach It? | Richard Golian

What happens when your team gets access to an AI agent? Role-based access control, shared memory, and the question most teams skip: who gets to shape what the agent knows.

Richard Golian