'[Sinwar] made the same analytical mistake Nasser had made: He underestimated the desire of Israelis to live in their ancestral homeland, basing his conclusion on an incorrect understanding of how Israel sees itself.
'In the end, the October 7 massacre Sinwar ordered did not cause the destruction of Israel but instead led to the dismantling of its enemies.
'Not since Nasser has anyone in the Middle East been proved so wrong so quickly.
'Sinwar’s misplaced confidence in theories of settler colonialism and Jewish perfidy ... he even sponsored a [Gaza] conference in 2021 ... in which specific plans were discussed for the building of Palestine on the ruins of Israel.
'Walter Russell Mead ... once explained that a weakness of anti-Semites is that they have difficulty understanding the world as it actually works, and don’t comprehend cause and effect in either politics or economics'.
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2025/06/sinwar-march-folly/683290/