Ravi Nayyar

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SSC x CNI x Regulation | Lead Policy Analyst @ AUSCL | Fellow @ ASPI and @ Social Cyber Institute | Blog @ TechLegalUpdate | #KalikaMataKiJai
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Leaks from USG amd Anthropic on recent events:

'Several weeks ago, Anthropic gave the administration a list of 111 organizations slated to receive advanced access to Mythos ... officials reviewed the list and signed off.

'But Anthropic later disclosed that the list had ballooned and roughly 50 additional entities had already received access.

'... one recipient was a South Korean telecommunications company the administration suspected of having ties to China ...

'Anthropic quickly revoked the firm’s access to Mythos ...

'So when Amazon alerted the administration last week to a security vulnerability in Anthropic’s new model, officials saw it as the latest in a series of lapses. They concluded it was time to ask President Donald Trump to authorize export controls ...

'The administration wants to lift the sanctions as soon as it’s convinced Anthropic has fully accounted for everyone who received the Mythos product and has strengthened the protections on the Fable project to prevent it from being jailbroken, the official said. The administration has no intention of moving against other products from Anthropic or other AI companies, the person added'.

https://archive.md/ajd7E

Articles 1-2, 11 read together = Iran remains free to enable its proxies to run riot in the region (including from funds meant officially for its reconstruction), just not to do foreign interference in the US?

Article 5 = Broad language (eg ‘steps’, not ‘reasonable steps’) not banning the imposition of tolls by Tehran.

Article 10 = Sanctions waivers (prior to withdrawals) for ‘Iranian crude oil, petrochemical products and their derivatives, and all related services, including banking, insurance, transportation, and the like’ would make New Delhi happy. Beijing can still keep its economy going at < pre-war Gulf import levels.
https://x.com/Rory_Johnston/status/2067034413846745354?s=20

Rory Johnston (@Rory_Johnston) on X

Below is the text of the 14-point draft memorandum, as seen by Bloomberg News. 1. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States, together with their allies in the current war, declare upon the signing of this Memorandum of Understanding an immediate and permanent end to the

X (formerly Twitter)

'[In] 28 years in the Army, I’ve never seen a more comprehensive and larger DDL [Denied, Degraded, Intermittent, and Limited] assessment, especially against a division size force.

'That meant 11 cyber red team units seeking to conduct vulnerability assessments, hitting everything from gaps in the network to spoofing WiFi passwords; space capabilities that can replicate contested GPS effects; and a dozen high-powered jammers.

'The latter included modified commercial-off-the-shelf systems or lab-developed capabilities ... for the first time, broke out the MAMBA-E ... jammer that is based on “the latest pacing threat that we find in intelligence" ...

'A key finding is that the opposing force had great success not by fully jamming the blue force, but merely degrading their systems.

'If you give him doubt that it’s their system or they’re being jammed, they’re not going to go all in on finding a solution.

'Brahser noted they tried to randomize their jamming against the blue force to create confusion and de-synch their operations, which is where they found a lot of success.

'Algorithms being developed as part of NGC2 will be able to ... tip users off if systems are merely down, or being disrupted by jamming techniques such as just denial.

'A key lesson from the Ukraine battlefield is the value of dispersing units to avoid being targeted. But based on the findings of Ivy Mass, units might need to be even more dispersed than previously thought.

'We’re not going to tech our way out of this problem. We also have some tactics we need to adapt'.

https://breakingdefense.com/2026/06/exclusive-inside-the-armys-efforts-to-jam-its-own-forces-and-what-it-learned/

EXCLUSIVE: Inside the Army’s efforts to jam its own forces — and what it learned

Breaking Defense embedded with the Army's red team during the Ivy Mass exercise. The key takeaways will drive tactics and procurement going forward.

Breaking Defense

'Notably, this is the first time M795 shells will be forged outside North America. The ammunition is in heavy demand, as Ukraine chews through 5,500-6,000 rounds every day.

'... the government is investing A$9.2 million to modernize and refurbish an existing 5-inch naval projectile production line at Benalla, Australia.

'The Maryborough factory will commence M795 production by late 2028 at a rate of 15,000 rounds annually. It will also have an annual surge production capacity of 100,000 rounds.

'Australia also needs to close another sovereignty gap. It currently cannot load, assemble and pack explosives into 155mm projectiles, nor add fuses'.

https://www.defensenews.com/global/asia-pacific/2026/06/15/australia-forges-ahead-with-155mm-ammo-production/

Australia forges ahead with 155mm ammo production

The Maryborough factory will commence M795 production by late 2028 at a rate of 15,000 rounds annually.

Defense News

'As Ukraine’s front lines rely on small drones, and the laser systems that guide the Ukrainian military’s missiles are predominantly heavy and expensive, the company has developed a system that fits in a hand and weighs 200 grams, according to company representatives.

'Laser designation itself is not a new capability, but a precision-support function should not be limited to larger systems or unmanned platforms ...'

https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2026/06/16/ukraines-demand-for-tiny-drone-laser-targeting-systems-spurs-new-product-launches/

Ukraine’s demand for tiny drone laser-targeting systems spurs new product launches

Companies rush to miniaturize the technology for marking targets on the battlefield, making it suitable to ride on small unmanned aerial vehicles.

Defense News

'... high-precision ball bearings at its facility in Keene, New Hampshire. Timken's high precision ball-bearings are used in defense and space-related advanced systems.

'The funds, appropriated to the DPA Fund by the Additional Ukraine Supplemental Appropriations Act (Ukraine Supplemental), will be used to make operational and technological improvements at the company's facility, including upgrading equipment and operator training. Timken is also investing approximately $11 million to further expand these capabilities at the facility'.

https://www.war.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3433088/dod-enters-138-million-agreement-to-expand-domestic-manufacturing-to-strengthen/

'A U.S. Transportation Department spokesperson said the ​review showed that "Delta's passengers received prompt refunds, adequate baggage assistance, and appropriate assistance for ​passengers with disabilities".

'USDOT said its decision to close the probe included direction to Delta "to provide adequate customer service assistance including timely notification of the right to seek a refund".

'In December, USDOT waived an $11 million fine imposed on Southwest Airlines as part of a $140 million ​settlement over the carrier's meltdown in December 2022 during a ​busy holiday ⁠travel period'.

Ah, so that's that, then.

https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/us-closes-probe-into-2024-delta-air-lines-meltdown-sparked-by-crowdstrike-outage-2026-06-15/

'... it takes 3,500 litres of diesel to haul freight return from Adelaide to Perth and the price of that fuel doubled overnight.

'It's going to take a couple of years for governments and industry to start building their [petroleum] stocks back up.

'But to people in the bush, its advice to pump up tyres and remove roof racks for better aerodynamics was symbolic of a disconnect with the regions.

'She has dealt with urea shortages by "shandying it down" with sulphate of ammonia to keep her dairy farmer clients supplied'.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2026-06-17/fuel-shock-pushes-regional-businesses-to-the-brink/106802444

'It's all too hard': Fuel shock pushes regional businesses to the brink

Small-town coffee shops and long-established businesses are at risk of closing despite a ceasefire in the Middle East easing the global oil price. Regional businesses say fuel relief measures need to be extended because the damage done from the fuel shock is far from over.  

'... a fundamental mistake to overlook the fact that Palestine Action overtly promotes unlawful violence amounting to terrorism.

'It is not - as claimed - a direct action civil disobedience protest group like the suffragettes, operating transparently in the open ...

'It is a covert organisation which operates with secret cells to avoid the detection and prosecution of those using violence to destroy property and cause injury.

‘[Baroness Carr] said the group had neither disowned nor condemned three incidents which took place before the ban was implemented and were judged by ministers to amount to terrorism.

'That included [targeting] defence firms involved in UK national defence and assisting Ukraine.

'... the government was generally better placed than the courts in deciding matters of national security ... ministers must have a wide margin within which to act in this complex field.

'... a five-judge Court of Appeal, including the Lady Chief Justice and a number of other senior and highly respected judges. It's a very detailed judgment, and it's possible the Supreme Court will feel that the matters have been adequately dealt with’.

Sad day for Chinese, Russian and Iranian foreign interference units, as well as their agents and useful idiots in the UK. Good news.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4gy927jx88o

Palestine Action ban is lawful, Court of Appeal rules

The Home Office had challenged a High Court ruling that the group's proscription should be quashed.