Paracompact

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I don't think so? Lean is formal methods, so it makes sense to discuss the boons of formal and semiformal methods more generally.

I used to think that the only way we would be able to trust AI output would be by leaning heavily into proof-carrying code, but I've come to appreciate the other approaches as well.

I don't think he's referring to Lean specifically, but any sort of executable testing methodology. It removes the human in the loop in the confidence assurance story, or at least greatly reduces their labor. You cannot ever get such assurance just by saying, "Well this model seems really smart to me!" At best, you would wind up with AI-Jim.

(One way Lean or Rocq could help you directly, though, would be if you coded your program in it and then compiled it to C via their built-in support for it. Such is very difficult at the moment, however, and in the industry is mostly reserved for low-level, high-consequence systems.)