Michael Paarlberg

304 Followers
107 Following
18 Posts
Assistant professor of political science, Virginia Commonwealth University
Associate fellow, Institute for Policy Studies
Ex SEIU, Guardian, LatAm advisor Bernie Sanders
Migration, security, labor, Latin America 교포
A problem with the popularist approach to politics: attitudes change, sometimes drastically, through advocacy and leadership. Treating public opinion as immovable is a justification for inaction and a fundamentally conservative outlook
Just for perspective, this is 1/10th the number of Ukrainian refugees who were processed at the border earlier this year, efficiently and without alarming language about a “surge, “flood” or “crisis” https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/12/us/el-paso-migrants-border.html
Mass Migrant Crossing Floods Texas Border Facilities

The arrival of up to 1,000 migrants, the latest big group to have crossed the border, was one of the largest single crossings in recent years in West Texas, which has seen a surge in migration.

Latin America’s advances in LGBT rights did not contribute to political polarization or a right wing backlash. Important finding and great example of why journals should publish more null result papers. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/720940
No Evidence of Backlash: LGBT Rights in Latin America | The Journal of Politics

Since the civil rights movement, scholars have warned that prominority policies can create a backlash effect in the majority. Some observers fear these dynamics may be at work in Latin America, where after dramatic advances in LGBT (lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender) rights, voters have elected antigay leaders. To investigate, we created the Latin American Rainbow Index—a measure of LGBT rights in the continent by country—and combined it with individual survey responses to test whether granting new rights had any discernible impact on attitudes. We find no evidence of backlash and little evidence of polarization. We also provide a new index of LGBT rights in the continent, which may be used by other scholars to further examine the LGBT movement in Latin America.

The Journal of Politics
I’m sad to hear this. TMC’s partnership with the Post has given political scientists like me a big platform to explain their own research directly to the public. It’s improved policy debates with evidence-based analysis. And helped academics become better public communicators. https://twitter.com/monkeycageblog/status/1599793509375959041?s=46&t=T3tKNQ_qrDIsKiwd179aaw
The Monkey Cage (TMC) on Twitter

“We have an important announcement today about our site and its future. Our partnership with @washingtonpost will end on December 31, 2022. That will be our last day publishing on their site. We're excited to continue as an independent site beginning in the spring of 2023. 1/x”

Twitter
El Salvador's Bukele govt has threatened, harassed, hacked, and spied on journalists, the opposition, a US congresswoman, NGOs, and academics (including me). Social media is now a key part of the authoritarian playbook. Good investigation by Reuters https://t.co/JL7ftjAfzY
Trolls, propaganda & fear stoke Bukele's media machine in El Salvador

The nation’s leader has built a communications juggernaut. Its engine: internet trolls whose online attacks are endangering journalists and critics.

Reuters
If the WH and Congress believe US rail carriers are so vital to the economy that it necessitates overriding the ratification process to impose a contract maybe they should just nationalize them
Migration and Democracy: How Remittances Undermine Dictatorships By Abel Escribà-Folch, Covadonga Meseguer and Joseph Wright. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2022. 299 pp., $29.95 cloth | Journal of Race, Ethnicity, and Politics | Cambridge Core

Migration and Democracy: How Remittances Undermine Dictatorships By Abel Escribà-Folch, Covadonga Meseguer and Joseph Wright. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2022. 299 pp., $29.95 cloth - Volume 7 Issue 3

Cambridge Core
The greatest pair of World Cup headlines
Korea wins 0-0
Good essay by William LeoGrande. Dems thought they couldn’t win without Florida until they did, and thought they couldn’t thaw relations with Cuba until they did. A better lesson is to not let fear limit your policy options, and have the courage to lead https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/11/21/democrats-florida-republicans-cuban-american-cuba-trump-biden-obama/
Why Democrats Should Forget About Florida and Focus on Cuba

It would free them to embrace better policies toward Cuba.

Foreign Policy