Maximilian Kasy

@maxkasy
1.3K Followers
337 Following
248 Posts

Econ prof at Oxford.

Machine learning, politics, econometrics, inequality, random reading recs.

Homepagehttps://maxkasy.github.io/home/

Insightful interview on Iran on the eve of the recent invasion:

https://newleftreview.org/issues/ii157/articles/ervand-abrahamian-iran-under-fire

Ervand Abrahamian, Iran Under Fire, NLR 157, January–February 2026

One of modern Iran’s leading historians provides a critical anatomy of the power structures of the Islamic Republic, on the eve of war—and a scathing denunciation of the long-incubated American-Israeli assault on the country, calculated to bring about Syria-style disintegration and civil war.

New Left Review

🚨 New working paper (with @elizabethlinos and @ProfSanaz) 🚨
"Causal Inference for Social Network Formation"

A design-based framework for indentification and inference on the causal mechanisms behind tie formation, applied to 6,042 new hires randomly assigned to project teams at a global firm.
Indirect ties have a robust, large effect!

https://maxkasy.github.io/home/files/papers/network_formation.pdf

Insightful interview on Iran on the eve of the recent invasion:

https://newleftreview.org/issues/ii157/articles/ervand-abrahamian-iran-under-fire

Ervand Abrahamian, Iran Under Fire, NLR 157, January–February 2026

One of modern Iran’s leading historians provides a critical anatomy of the power structures of the Islamic Republic, on the eve of war—and a scathing denunciation of the long-incubated American-Israeli assault on the country, calculated to bring about Syria-style disintegration and civil war.

New Left Review

🚨 New working paper (with @elizabethlinos and @ProfSanaz) 🚨
"Causal Inference for Social Network Formation"

A design-based framework for indentification and inference on the causal mechanisms behind tie formation, applied to 6,042 new hires randomly assigned to project teams at a global firm.
Indirect ties have a robust, large effect!

https://maxkasy.github.io/home/files/papers/network_formation.pdf

Barry Eichengreen kindly reviewed "The Means of Prediction" in Foreign Affairs (May/June 2026) — "a clear and concise explanation of how AI works":

🔗 https://foreignaffairs.com/reviews/means-prediction-how-ai-really-works-and-who-benefits
"Cancel-culture" in action:
This paper argues that the US governments' blacklisting of research on topics including gender, race, and the environment (for funding) has led to pre-emptive self-censorship in economics working papers.
https://shs.hal.science/halshs-05519411/file/WP_2026-06_.pdf

💲💲💲 New version available: 💲💲💲

Basic income and labor supply: Theory and evidence from an RCT in Germany

https://maxkasy.github.io/home/files/papers/basic_income_econ.pdf

#basicincome #ubi

🔥 🌐 Workshop announcement: 🌐🔥
AI and the political economy of information filtering
May 25-27, 2026

Workshop website:
https://maxkasy.github.io/home/information_filtering_workshop/

Registration:
https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSeHq-IEXmmLNI9YZ__DJInZUF24tqn3gQcjrk3AbdOa-CIo6w/viewform

https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/8d4d8fc1-d7db-477e-97b7-75c79011b54e Ministers explore triggering break clause in Palantir’s NHS contract
Ministers explore triggering break clause in Palantir’s NHS contract

Government is under pressure to eject the controversial American company from NHS England data systems

Financial Times