๐Ÿ™ˆ Markus ๐Ÿ’™๐Ÿ’› Shepherd ๐Ÿ™Š

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297 Following
213 Posts
It's easier to ask for forgiveness than permission.
๐Ÿค– Expect board games ๐ŸŽฒ, cat pics ๐Ÿ˜ป, and the occasional maths. ๐Ÿค“ He/him.
Founder of Recommend.Games
Websitehttps://recommend.games
Bloghttps://blog.recommend.games
GitHubhttps://github.com/MarkusShepherd
R.G mastodon@recommend_games

WEM (@index) told me to geek out about his Rules Ratio, so geek out I did! ๐Ÿค“ Here's my article diving deeper into his idea:
https://blog.recommend.games/posts/rules-ratio/

https://www.wericmartin.com/the-rules-ratio-a-new-stat-to-geek-out-about/

Rules Ratio

From WEM's geeky stat to smoothing, residuals and the new unit "wem"

Analysis Paralysis

The Rules Ratio: A New Stat to Geek Out About

How well do your favorite games measure up?

https://www.wericmartin.com/the-rules-ratio-a-new-stat-to-geek-out-about/

The Rules Ratio: A New Stat to Geek Out About

How well do your favorite games measure up?

Board Game Beat LLC | W. Eric Martin

This experiment (authored by several well-known mathematicians) revives an archaic practice (last seen in the era of Gauss) of posting encrypted proofs before revealing them: https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.05192 . Here, the challenge is to see whether 10 research-level problems (that arose in the course of the authors research) are amenable to modern AI tools within a fixed time period (until Feb 13).

The problems appear to be out of reach of current "one-shot" AI prompts, but were solved by human domain experts, and would presumably a fair fraction would also be solvable by other domain experts equipped with AI tools. They are technical enough that a non-domain-expert would struggle to verify any AI-generated output on these problems, so it seems quite challenging to me to have such a non-expert solve any of these problems, but one could always be surprised. It will be interesting to see if there were any notable outcomes to this experiment by the expiration of the time linit.

First Proof

To assess the ability of current AI systems to correctly answer research-level mathematics questions, we share a set of ten math questions which have arisen naturally in the research process of the authors. The questions had not been shared publicly until now; the answers are known to the authors of the questions but will remain encrypted for a short time.

arXiv.org

Can You Grow Without Social Media? Board Game Beat Is About to Find Out

Board Game Beat is leaving conventional social media behind. Find out why, as well as how you can keep up with the news.

https://www.wericmartin.com/federated-social-media-video/

Can You Grow Without Social Media? Board Game Beat Is About to Find Out

Board Game Beat is leaving conventional social media behind. Find out why, as well as how you can keep up with the news.

Board Game Beat LLC | W. Eric Martin

What Things Looked Like Before Launch

Get a peek behind the scenes at the building of Board Game Beat

https://www.wericmartin.com/board-game-beat-before-launch/

Behind the Beat: What Things Looked Like Before Launch

Get a peek behind the scenes at the building of Board Game Beat

Board Game Beat LLC | W. Eric Martin
New post: Elo as a Skill-O-Meter ๐Ÿงฎ
In part 3 of my Elo series I stop ranking players and start measuring how much skill a game actually shows. Toy universes, p-deterministic worlds, and snooker vs tennis.
https://blog.recommend.games/posts/elo-as-a-skill-o-meter/
Elo as a Skill-O-Meter

Elo, part 3: What rating spreads in a toy universe tell us about luck and skill

Analysis Paralysis
New post: Elo as a Skill-O-Meter ๐Ÿงฎ
In part 3 of my Elo series I stop ranking players and start measuring how much skill a game actually shows. Toy universes, p-deterministic worlds, and snooker vs tennis.
https://blog.recommend.games/posts/elo-as-a-skill-o-meter/
Elo as a Skill-O-Meter

Elo, part 3: What rating spreads in a toy universe tell us about luck and skill

Analysis Paralysis
I hate feeling like I know how websites work just enough to comprehend how terrible some of them are.
My Rogers internet plan renewed recently, and with it came free access to streaming services. Rogers has been badgering me to activate them, and ideally I would like to do so.
However, every time I log in, I get a "Sorry, something went wrong. Try again or get support here." message.
I hate these messages, first of all. I understand most people won't know what an error message actually means, and it's hard to produce useful ones. Believe me, I get it.
But "Sorry, something went wrong" is a cop out and makes *everything* worse. I can't tell support I got a "something went wrong" error and expect them to know how to fix it. I know exactly what they're going to say. "Try clearing your cookies. Try turning it off and on again. Try connecting to a different network." Or my favourite: "Try refreshing your device." ...
I don't see any refresh buttons. Maybe if I pull my phone toward me so hard that it smacks me in the forehead, it will refresh itself?
Maybe it's hard enough to produce a useful error message--and train customer service on it--that they just decide it's not worth the bother ... even though the error *could* be my ad blocker's fault or my tracker blocker's fault, or maybe it's because GitHub is down and I'm trying to retrieve a JS library from there. (That actually did happen to me the other week.)
Fine. Give me an error ID. It doesn't even need to be a number; it can be words. Surely you can come up with a word bank of 1,000 words anyone can spell which sound and look nothing alike? Now you've got a billion error identifiers with just three words. So let me call support and reference error number "big-stupid-headache".
But wait. Let's go way back to the part where I actually try to get support. When I click that "Get help" link, I'm brought to the generic help page. This is basically the laziest possible implementation. I was at the login page, so why not bring me right to "login issues"?
Actually, I was on the error page that the Rogers website generated. Why am I the one trying to figure out which help category is both relevant to the issue and likely to get me an actual human? Why can't Rogers look at the e-mail address I *just* entered into the website, look at the approximate error, and give me a "Send report" button that actually pings someone to follow up with me? I am the one paying Rogers for service and Rogers is not only failing to provide part of it, but also making me crawl through the help system to convince it that I actually do need outside intervention for something that isn't my fault?
But I know why. It's all part of the same pattern, isn't it? Every time I call, I hear "Did you know you can do all this cool shit with the My Rogers app?" Every time I get a discount alert, I see "Get free activation when you set up service online."
Rogers wants to do everything within their power to make it difficult for me to talk to a person. Even when the site is broken. Even when I can't actually get what I'm paying for. Maybe the answer to "Oops, something went wrong" is actually "Wait, something was already wrong."
Anyway, I'm tired of thinking about this now, so I guess tomorrow I have to spend my time on hold with Rogers, or use their chat system and hope I don't forget to check the window for new messages for longer than 90 seconds.
If anyone ever hears me talk about how annoying it is to set up my own hosted services instead of relying on someone else's, just assume that relying on someone else's is somehow even more annoying. Because usually it is. I booted a Linux server from a live CD, used OCR to get networking working, and sent a full backup of the server to another server, then rebuilt the original server, sent the backup *back* to it, restored it, fixed a bunch of file permissions that broke because I was an idiot, and now the fact you can see this post proves that my server is working. I can't do any of that with Rogers. I just have to sit there and hope the person I'm talking to knows which buttons to press. And with Rogers ... they don't.
The computations for this plot took almost 14 days. I hope you enjoy it. ๐Ÿค“

The current administration in the US has, through various funding agencies such as the NSF and NIH, has recently suspended virtually all federal grants to my home university, UCLA (including my own personal grant, although that is far from the most serious impact of this decision), on the grounds that UCLA was โ€œfailing to promote a research environment free of antisemitism and biasโ€. One can certainly debate whether these grounds were justified, or whether they merit the extremely draconian damage to the very research environment that this decision is claiming to protect, but if nothing else this unprecedented decision does not appear to have followed the usual standards of due process for actions of this nature; for instance, there appears to have been no good faith effort by the administration to receive a response from UCLA to its allegations before implementing its decision.

The suspension of my personal grant has a non-trivial impact on myself (in particular, my summer salary, which I had already deferred in order to allow the previously released NSF funds to support several of my graduate students over this period, is now in limbo), and now gives me almost no resources to support my graduate students going forward; but this is only a fraction of a percent of the entire amount being suspended. A far greater concern is the impact on the Institute for Pure and Applied Mathematics (IPAM) https://www.ipam.ucla.edu/, which despite receiving preliminary approval earlier this year for a new five-year round of funding (albeit at significantly reduced levels) from the NSF, now only has enough emergency funding for a few months of further operation at best if the suspension is not lifted. (1/4)