jopsen

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Show threadjopsenMar 21
The outcomes is very different from 2010, how so?
Show threadjopsenMar 21

> it's all about managing upwards

That might not work with the current administration. Which probably a/the problem.

Show threadjopsenJan 31
Fair enough, but would more bombs do anything?
jopsenJan 31

The something in question is bombing. Didn't Israel and the US try that last year?

Maybe the objective wasn't regime, but I doubt more bombs will do that? Not after so many years of sanctions.

Sadly, I don't see any positive outcome, short of the regime gracefully collapsing on itself.

Hardening sanctions won't do Iranians any good, but it will make the country poorer and less able to inflict violence on other countries. Which is guess is the logic.

And following the export of drones to Russia, I doubt Europe, which has previously been in favor of fewer sanctions, will oppose more sanctions on Iran.

If only the US administration had friends, they could do something with sanctions. But I guess useless bombing it is, or maybe just nothing -- this is Trump after all.

Sadly, I doubt it matters either way.
The regime sponsors terrorism, not reason they wouldn't do it at home.

Show threadjopsenJan 31

I doubt there will be a ground invasion this time. The current US administration cannot build a coalition (and logistics without a coalition is hard), not will the US public go for it.

And is there really much you can do from the air that wasn't done already?

Either the Iranians do it themselves or it doesn't happen. Sadly, I don't see any good outcomes for the protestors. But you never know, oppressive regimes appear stable, until they are not.