GFXFTS

@gfxfts
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More than 25 years of experience on the buy/sell-side in #FX,#FI, #Macro & #Quant | PhD in #FX Forecasting with #Neural #Nets | Tweets are in my own capacity
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GGMA Squawk

Her stance is hawkish-conditional: signalled willingness to vote for a hike if inflation expectations and outturns continue to rise into 2027. Kocher is the Austrian National Bank Governor and ECB GC voice on inflation persistence; he tends to align with the hawk wing alongside Nagel.

Tomorrow's Macro Roadmap: JGB auction / Swiss GDP & sight deposits / BOE, ECB & Fed speak / Buba report /US NAHB

The data calendar is pretty light, apart from the China data dump. On the policy maker front, we get BOE's Mann, who delivered an LSE lecture on UK international exposures last Tuesday.

Bond Selloff Threatens to Knock AI Stock Frenzy Off Course
"What would it take to break this rally? Most investors interviewed pointed to the yield on 30-year Treasuries holding sustainably above 5% — the level where it’s already trading."
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-05-16/bond-selloff-threatens-to-knock-ai-stock-frenzy-off-course

8/ Europe's structural constraints continue to limit its equity market's ability to compete globally, and UK debt dynamics remain in focus.

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GGMA Squawk

7/ The DOJ is probing valuations at a BlackRock private credit fund. Reporting also surfaced on the scale of Trump's trading activity — more than 3,700 trades.

Separately, Trump and Xi signaled alignment on keeping the Strait of Hormuz open, though no progress was reported on Iran itself.

6/ ECB's Vujcic said a June rate increase will depend on incoming data, keeping the door open but not committing.

4/ Global bond yields have hit multi-decade highs. The G-7 is set to discuss the selloff, which is now spilling into US equities after months of decoupling.

5/ Reports indicate the US and Israel are preparing renewed strikes on Iran as early as next week.

Following the latest inflation surge, traders are now pricing the next Fed move as a hike rather than a cut.

3/ The Fed named Jerome Powell Chair Pro Tempore until Kevin Warsh is sworn in as Chairman — a leadership transition at the central bank amid the inflation repricing.

🧵 Today's market-relevant headlines:

1/ US job losses are accelerating in roles most exposed to AI, according to new reporting. The shift is showing up in the labor data, not just forecasts.

2/ Q2 inflation is projected at 6% by top forecasters.