Fergus Ryan

@fergusryan@aus.social
355 Followers
212 Following
673 Posts
China analyst

Crossposting everywhere but hanging out at 🦋 http://fergus.bsky.social 

Join my newsletter: 🧧http://redpacket.substack.com

I just signed a petition standing with Jewish Australians against antisemitism, racism and political division in the wake of the Bondi Beach massacre.

Add your name for unity and safety: https://jewishcouncil.good.do/unity/

SIGN ✍️ We will not be divided after Bondi

Add your name to the Jewish Council petition today

Does a Royal Commission typically slow action, or can governments act in parallel while one is underway?

My instinct is the latter, but that’s just a guess.

I'm interested to understand the mechanism here: which specific antisemitism-focused policies does Howard think would have prevented the Bondi attack?

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2025-12-16/john-howard-gun-laws-attempted-diversion/106148416

John Howard calls push to tighten gun laws in wake of Bondi attack an 'attempted diversion'

Former prime minister John Howard, whose gun reforms fundamentally reshaped Australia, says he would support further tightening, but it cannot be made into a distraction or an "excuse" not to tackle antisemitism. 

ABC News

A very sharp piece from Lisa Visentin

Even as Australia reassesses its exposure to China, we still need people who understand how its system works for policy, strategy & risk.

If the market isn’t producing that talent, govt may need to consider how to.

https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/how-do-we-compete-with-beijing-when-so-few-of-us-can-speak-chinese-20251201-p5njrt.html

How do we compete with Beijing when so few of us can speak Chinese?

The tiny numbers of students learning an Asian language is a “systemic failure” which will cost us dearly.

The Sydney Morning Herald

Huge thanks to my brilliant co-authors: Bethany Allen, Shelly Shih, Stephan Robin, Nathan Attrill, Jared Alpert, Astrid Young & Tilla Hoja.

Thanks to the Human Rights Foundation for supporting this work.

If you think this research matters, RT to get it in front of more people.

The rest of the report expands the picture:

• AI in policing, courts & prisons
• AI-driven online censorship
• Minority-language LLMs used for surveillance of Uyghur, Tibetan communities
• AI-enabled fishing platforms affecting other countries' economic rights

Chinese models are rapidly gaining global users through open-weight releases & easy API access.

As I told The Washington Post, if we don’t understand how they’re built, we risk importing censorship & political control hidden inside the technology itself.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/12/01/china-ai-censorship-surveillance/

In some cases, the same image generated wildly different answers depending on language:

• English → neutral description
• Simplified Chinese → state-aligned warnings (“cults”, “extremism”)
• Traditional Chinese → less constrained

We tested image understanding in English, Simplified Chinese, and Traditional Chinese.

We found:

• Much stricter censorship in Chinese
• Strongest distortions on Tiananmen, Tibet, Falun Gong & Xinjiang
• Some models quietly added pro-state framing even without refusing.

The results are staggering.

Models routinely:

❌ refuse to answer
❌ erase key details
❌ repeat state narratives

Here’s one example: a major Chinese LLM flat-out refuses to describe the 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre.