RT @[email protected]
This story on Wang Huning is really making the rounds. The main claim is that he stayed on the Politburo Standing Committee to focus on Taiwan and unification. However, the story’s sourcing and reasoning is somewhat weak.
https://asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks/China-up-close/Analysis-Xi-puts-top-brain-in-charge-of-Taiwan-unification-strategy
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/fravel/status/1619339489813594117
Analysis: Xi puts top brain in charge of Taiwan unification strategy
Wang Huning tasked with creating alternative to 'one country, two systems'
"While negotiations are still ongoing, an announcement is expected as soon as this week when Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets in Manila with his counterpart and then with President Ferdinand Marcos Jr."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/01/30/philippines-bases-china-taiwan/
U.S. military poised to secure new access to key Philippine bases
The expansion is part of a broader push in the Indo-Pacific to buttress U.S. force posture, reinforce alliances and deter China.
I'm probably "neutral" with a CL of 2-3; I think permanent territorial settlement is an unlikely proximal outcome and we'll have some form of a frozen/festering conflict.
This is somewhat interesting, though I'm baffled that a majority of respondents state confidence levels greater than 5
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ask-the-experts/will-ukraine-wind-making-territorial-concessions-russia
Will Ukraine Wind Up Making Territorial Concessions to Russia?
A groups of experts weighs in on whether the most likely outcome to the war in Ukraine will involve Kyiv making some territorial concessions to Russia.
South Korea accidentally fired machine gun toward North Korea, military says | NK News
An accident during a routine ROK military exercise near the inter-Korean border caused a machine gun to fire bullets toward North Korea, though they fell well short of DPRK territory, the Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) said Monday. Media reports over the weekend said that a front-line unit in Gangwon Province fired four rounds at […]
RT @[email protected]
Not what the slide was made for, but it inadvertently tells you everything you need to know about the coming demographic disaster South Korea is facing. https://twitter.com/edconwaysky/status/1620135155909398528
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/Dest_Pyongyang/status/1620154843582300160
Ed Conway on Twitter
“This coming demographic crisis will be tough for the UK. But even worse elsewhere.
This chart shows you the dependency ratio (% of population over 65) in various countries.
Look: all those bars get higher between 2020 & 2070. But UK actually goes DOWN in ranking…”
Talks between Russia and Ukraine would save lives, argues Christopher Chivvis
The foreign-policy expert writes as part of a series debating the wisdom of peace negotiations
RT @[email protected]
Methodology is interesting:in-person home interviews. Fielding period was more than two weeks. Normally, that sample size takes three days. Really curious as to why that was the choice. https://twitter.com/GalloVOA/status/1619968989639372801
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/KarlFriedhoff/status/1619986969362337793
William Gallo on Twitter
“Yet another poll suggesting widespread public support for South Korea getting its own nukes
https://t.co/JOb3oz8B9U”
RT @[email protected]
The increased tempo of visits from senior US officials to talk NK threat and response is notable. Showing up in visible ways is important in repairing the Trump-inflicted damage to US credibility. https://twitter.com/niccijsmith/status/1619886321904013314
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/toby_dalton/status/1619894838765428738
Nicola Smith on Twitter
“U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin is set to arrive in Seoul on Monday for talks with his South Korean counterpart over deterrence against North Korean nuclear and missile threats
https://t.co/2y6LZAb7g8”
Soviet Report on Communists in Korea, 1945 | Wilson Center Digital Archive
