| Blog | andrewharmer.org |
Andrew Harmer
@andrewharmer@mstdn.social
- 15 Followers
- 34 Following
- 139 Posts
Senior Lecturer in global health at Queen Mary's University of London.
This IEA blog post underlines the staggering inequality in emissions disaggregated by wealth between and within countries:
"The world’s top 1% of emitters produce over 1000 times more CO2 than the bottom 1%"
@ilankelman You will have seen this call of course: https://journals.plos.org/climate/article?id=10.1371/journal.pclm.0000126
I think I started to notice the knowledge gap identified in this Opinion Piece as early as 2011.
I think I started to notice the knowledge gap identified in this Opinion Piece as early as 2011.
@ilankelman I was surprised by the results of the Vicedo-Cabrera 2021 study of heat mortality: "the overall estimate that 0.58% (95% CI: 0.24–1.14) of all warm season deaths are attributable to climate change translates to an average of 9,702 (95% CI, 4,005–19,135) deaths across the 732 locations". A retrospective analysis for the period 1991-2018. I'm guessing that 'if we don't do anything' (unlikely) we would see tens of thousands of deaths every year attributable to CC?
@ilankelman Well, my own thoughts are now mostly self-reflections on how better to understand this broad topic. I am struck by the quote by you that Tim focuses on: "If we don’t do anything about climate change and we end up with heatwaves going to 40 to 50C we will see hundreds of thousands of people dying every year because of it". What is the source for this projection? And of those deaths, how many would be attributable to CC?
@ilankelman Ok, thanks. Glad I'm managing to interpret the argument albeit it at an elementary level. I'll get hold of a copy of your book. If you have time, one final Q: Is the UK climate movement engaging much with your ideas? In terms of framing the issue and the language being used, it would seem not? I could imagine some may find your arguments challenging? They shouldn't, of course. What would a #DRR-informed social movement look like? Apologies - big questions!
@ilankelman With the caveat that this is all new to me (so apologies for any clumsiness of expression), wrt point 2: If extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense; and if disaster occurs following such events because of poor adaptation, high socio-economic equality etc in a society; and if that society does nothing to improve adaptation measures or redress inequalities etc; then would you expect a correlation between events and disasters?
@ilankelman Thanks for these links. Re point 1, I'm likely missing the nuance of the term 'hazard' here, but see AR6 WG1 SPM B.2.2 screenshot in support of my understanding of increases in intensity and frequency of events. I assume you aren't disputing the summary presented here?
Your description of point 2 is the one that has changed my perspective, and I've been reflecting these past couple of days on my own use of terms wrt climate change - very grateful for that!