Trump Library spoof.

Funny but weighty.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EZmXD3k_zdI

There's a popular misconception that much of the work of futurists is simply wild guessing, when IRL the field is powered by a dizzying array of empirical research and analysis methods.

Prediction Markets Conference in Las Vegas (April 22–24) speaker roster: PredictionMarketsConference.com

Throwies in a tunnel beneath Lincoln Square, Manhattan.

"Defining characteristics of skilled throw up include letter height consistency, letter shape conformity along the top and the bottom, minimal negative space, and clean lines. The line between pieces and throw ups is sometimes blurred, but throw ups tend to be faster to paint, have fewer colours, and prioritise speed over style."

We're about to throw our best & brightest into a war with no clear goals, and when they come back there won't be services for them, as the VA is firing social workers and mental health specialists en masse.

Arms and armor exhibit at the Met.

Researched consumer trends today at one of the best places to do so:

A transfer station for household trash and recyclables.

Looked at material flows and interviewed employees about what changes, if any, they've seen over the last 30 days.

The big one: more wine bottles turning up.

Authoritarian regimes are awful at both governance and military strategy, thanks to an unwillingness to consider consequences & alternatives.

US mil strategy now resembles our national budgeting process, where budgets are increasingly backward looking, not completed until a budgetary period concludes. This reactive process drove Argentina into default and may do the same for US.

Hoped to see sim games modeling escalation paths before they’re taken, using something like this EMD.

Local grocery, recently bought by a PE corp, stopped selling full loaves of their house brand of bread. Instead, their half loaves are now priced like full size ones.

Bread prices can trigger people.

Not me, I’m too busy enjoying this knock-off brand that's cheaper but also terrible.