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Who is the most likely driver to win a race this season other than the Redbull drivers?

https://lemmy.world/post/134026

Who is the most likely driver to win a race this season other than the Redbull drivers? - Lemmy.world

Assuming neither Redbull driver finishes, who is the most likely driver to win a race? Alonso seems like the obvious choice, but with Mercedes looking strong, who knows? What would happen if Stroll recovers and wins before Alonso? What sort of meltdown are we looking at?