Oggie

@Oggie@woof.group
151 Followers
103 Following
7.3K Posts
Keeping it vague for now. Cis, gay, he/him.

Feeling the deep abiding need to scream anonymously because there are things that I need to vent, but god it's too damn easy to trace things through the internet now.

Nothing that would be illegal, just...things that would cause social overhead that I don't want to deal with, and my friends I'd usually bother about this I don't want to load THEIR emotional plates up with.

My old outlets for this stuff aren't really viable anymore, and it's annoying.

Well that's something.

I noticed someone who I talked to semi-regularly hadn't posted in a little while, so I tried to see what he'd been up to, saw he was missing from my followed/followed by, had a whole thing where I thought maybe he blocked me..

But it looks like he deleted his account? That's really a shame, I wish him the best in..whatever is next for him.

I never like that sort of severing of contact, but..nothing to be done about it.

I didn't expect to have to explain to straight gamer friends who Orville Peck is.

I definitely didn't expect to have to explain because he's Vega in the new street fighter movie.

Seeking advice for a good place to send someone for a chastity device, he has specific desires ( looking for something with a u bend that clamps at the top, rather than a ring to squeeze through). Any advice for me to send along to my friend would be welcome.

Anyway, for such life changing, world altering, crazy amazing stuff, it's impressive that we just...aren't seeing it.

There is AI slop videos, which end up not making money because people stop watching and YT/TT don't pay what people dont' watch. AI music nobody wants to buy. AI slop video games people dont' seem to want to buy.

Maybe, eventually, it will be a useful tool (force multiplier), though I personally doubt it. But nobody right now is making money directly off it

Capitalist crime

So there's this story I can't remember the title of, but it's wildly prescient. A boy named Alexander (after the Great) takes over the world with his computer, which plays the stock market, and gets ever better at incorporating data and predicting the future. Nothing new under the sun!

He ends up, effectively, taking over the world, making his computer better. Eventually, his computer figures out it cannot simulate itself, and 'dies'.

I think it was written in the 70s.

Hilariously, camp 5 is tiny and ever shrinking. It's 'we're going to use LLMs to learn how to make money on the stock market', while in the middle of wildly irrational market behavior. LLMs can only extrapolate from previous history, so using a 'predicts the future box' for something that's so rare/weird and outside of the norm (not unprecedented completely, though) is inherently doomed to fail (see next post for a quickie anecdote about this). So everyone who tried this lost a lot of cash.

The REAL big one, camp 4-
The people selling the shovels, and inflating with potential FOMO. The investors, and people getting these crazy budgets to 'invest in AI!', which rarely comes with actual plans, other than a vague 'huge running cost' and 'build more data centers', with 'buying all the gpus' and 'buying all the ram'.

These people are making money (tons!) but it's not 'with AI', it's 'with WhizBang Tech', in a dr Seus version of capitalism. It's big because it's big.

Camp 3, the big one- '<This specific LLM bot> is making money with subscriptions!'

No, they aren't. Forget about makign more profits then their costs, people are simply not paying for these services. They're getting comped accounts, discounted accounts, and those 'sales' are being broadcast at full price and eating marketing department budgets. It's simply not happening, nobody is buying in to LLM products -for the LLM capacity-, it is at this state, not something people will pay for.

Camp 2- But it let us shrink our workforce! We lowered all these costs!

Well, no, not really, you just fired a lot of people in roles that were non day to day absolute critical (if it's instituionally backbreaking is a further excercise). This has been done before, in every one of these industries, with various excuses, with the only distinction is that a lot are doing it at the same exact time. Remember when voice recodnition was going to kill all transcription services?