Just to inject a little realism 👀 models this morning are showing the development of a Scandi high towards mid month.

This evolution has been expected for almost a month, whether we see cold air reaching the UK however remains far too early to accurately forecast 🥶

66 million years ago an astroid impacted what is now the Gulf of Mexico generating a massive tsunami.

Without this extinction level astroid, humans probably would never have evolved. Now we get to sit & watch a visualisation of it.

Best way to describe the outlook for the next few days I think.

(Sorry @[email protected] 😂)

TV forecasters could probably play the same broadcast for the next 5 days & the story wont have changed much.

☁️ and more ☁️

The Scandi high signal is on the GFS again. Very limited support within the ensemble suites at the moment but continues to fit with where background drivers are pointing.

Note; A Scandi high does not necessarily = UK cold, that's a detail far, far beyond forecasting abilities.

Interesting to see the GFS 12z showing the pattern i’ve been highlighting for mid Feb, albeit a little earlier.

Not to say it’s right of course, but good to see the idea finally being depicted within NWP outputs. Winter isn’t over yet!