Mastodawn

Elect Left 🇺🇸🌊 - donate smart!Jul 13, 2023

@QasimRashid
I don't understand why Qasim is reluctant to say this:
#IL11 is a fairly blue district. Whoever becomes the Republican nominee is not the most important opponent.
Rashid is running to #PRIMARY Rep Bill Foster, a #centrist who in his lengthy DC career has frequently sided with Republicans against Dems.
Foster is a member of the corporate-friendly "New Democrat Coalition", alongside Josh #Gottheimer and Henry #Cuellar.
To put it bluntly, screw those guys.

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Elect Left 🇺🇸🌊 - donate smart!Jul 4, 2023

@charlesgaba
Dang.
Not gonna lie, your project covers very similar ground but is just plain better than mine. By a lot, and even accounting for wastage on unwinnable races.
Kudos.
Now I need to rethink a whole lot of future hours...

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Elect Left 🇺🇸🌊 - donate smart!Jul 4, 2023

@charlesgaba
That average person is exactly why ElectLeft exists.
The person who unknowingly throws their money into (for example) #MarjorieThreeToes' incinerator while dozens of less-flashy races could have been won with a little more help, specifically:
* left challengers in dark blue #primaries (only).
* battleground Dems after primaries.
If resources permit, also help the few woefully underfunded House or statewide candidates who can't even mount a basic #GotV campaign. But not overdo it.

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Elect Left 🇺🇸🌊 - donate smart!Jul 4, 2023

@charlesgaba
Yes, those are #2023elections with #Democrats.
BUT.
We non-billionaires have limited funds available to donate to campaigns.
We should focus our money where it can do the most good.
In your picture, ONLY THE GOVERNOR'S RACES ARE COMPETITIVE.
Mostly-Red states sometimes #VoteBlue for Governor to counterbalance their legislature (and mostly-Blue the opposite).
That's how Beshear & Edwards won 4 years ago.
Sadly, AG, SoS, et al rarely flip, even with big $.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/126ZjTLJ-M38pSLc9SFZN71i6XVI7fIQhwNFBxGVXgP0/edit#gid=735463217

ElectTrack 2024 election data analysis

2024 House District,lean,Inc First,Inc Surname,type,Rating,Challengers,?,Result,Help?,Primary,Notes,-,Dave,PVI,e2022,538 new AK-all,-4,Mary,Peltola,(D),at risk,-,-,-,won special election,-,-6.0,-9.0,5.0,-7.5 AL-01,-19,Jerry,Carl,(T),dark red,-,-,-,-,-,-11.5,-16.0,-34.0,-16.0 AL-02,-17,Barry,Moor...

Google Docs

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Elect Left 🇺🇸🌊 - donate smart!Jul 3, 2023

@Badger_AF
I agree with most of your assessments & the Cook ratings.

We also need to pay attention to the primaries in CA & MD, make sure the new nominee is progressive not regressive.
And I'd like someone to primary Tom Carper (DE) from the left, but I don't know a viable challenger.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/126ZjTLJ-M38pSLc9SFZN71i6XVI7fIQhwNFBxGVXgP0/#gid=735463217

ElectTrack 2024 election data analysis

Google Docs

Elect Left 🇺🇸🌊 - donate smart!Jun 29, 2023

@seachanger @jennifersmith
The party leadership in most states is a bunch of useless cronies, and as you've noticed the national Dems focus on selling your contact information to hopefuls, but there are other options.
In AK you might want to join up with these folks:
https://www.mobilize.us/mobilize/event/561461/
See also traindemocrats.org

Take Action with People Power United Alaska · Mobilize

Sign up with People Power United in Alaska. People Power United champions progressive values and power to the people. We are a group of people who believe in the possibility of change and work to make it happen. Whether it's supporting a candidate, fighting to pass legislation, or working to change our culture, our members are committed to an inclusive and progressive future. Fill out this interest form and we will contact you when there are actions you can take to help fight for freedom and equal rights, in person and online!

Mobilize

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Elect Left 🇺🇸🌊 - donate smart!Jun 27, 2023

@claudiamiles
That's Gym's 2011-2020 district.
Ohio republicans have gotten better at #gerrymandering since then.
Now #OH04 is a more boring shape, but still 85% white & 66% republican.