Agua Fria Open Space Alliance

@AFOSA
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Garry Rogers PhD manages this site for the Agua Fria Open Space Alliance Inc (AFOSA)
Nature Conservancy Models Used to Maul Public Lands, Wildlife and Watersheds

In a recent article on the plight of the Pinyon Jay, I mentioned a major new 550,000 acre Cedar City BLM Pinyon-Juniper deforestation proposal, the Indian Peak Watershed Restoration Plan, on the Ut…

The Wildlife News

Water, the foundation of our civilization, is becoming scarce and will grow more so in the coming years. Radical adaptations are necessary.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/09/09/water-management-for-worst-case-climate-change/

Water Management for Worst-Case Climate Change

Water, the foundation of our civilization and the world’s ecosystems, is growing scarce and will become more so in the coming years. Drastic adaptations are necessary.

GarryRogers Nature Conservation

Geoengineering Adaptations for Worst-Case Climate Change

In a warming world, geoengineering may indeed become unavoidable. Given the stakes and current trajectory, it would be irresponsible not to research and prepare for potential geoengineering deployments.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/09/02/geoengineering-adaptations-for-worst-case-climate-change/

Geoengineering Adaptations for Worst-Case Climate Change

In a warming world, geoengineering may indeed become unavoidable. Given the stakes and current trajectory, it would be irresponsible not to research and prepare for potential geoengineering deploym…

GarryRogers Nature Conservation

Population Management for Worst-Case Climate Change

Planet Earth is already straining under the 400-billion-pound weight of eight billion humans (more than all other mammals combined). In a world that may warm by 4 or 5°C, much of the land could become unlivable because of extreme heat, drought, flooding, or sea-level rise.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/08/27/population-management-for-worst-case-climate-change/

Population Management for Worst-Case Climate Change

Planet Earth is already straining under the 400-billion-pound weight of eight billion humans (more than all other mammals combined). In a world that may warm by 4 or 5°C, much of the land could bec…

GarryRogers Nature Conservation

Bad Climate News

An aside that supports my argument for worst-case scenario climate adaptation planning.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/08/18/bad-climate-news/

Bad Climate News

An aside that supports my argument for worst-case scenario climate adaptation planning.

GarryRogers Nature Conservation
Is Reducing Wildfire Fuels Common Sense?

One continuously that “common sense” dictates that logging the forest to decrease “fuels” will eliminate or reduce large wildfires. Thinning of ponderosa pine, Black Hills National Forest, South Da…

The Wildlife News

The benefits of a constitutional democracy make it the best form of government for surviving worst-case climate change.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/08/05/governance-in-a-hothouse-earth-balancing-adaptation-and-freedom/

Governance in a Hothouse Earth: Balancing Adaptation and Freedom

In times of crisis, there’s often a push towards autocratic rule. The argument is that centralized, authoritarian control can implement necessary changes more quickly and efficiently. However…

GarryRogers Nature Conservation

Worst-Case Scenario for the Biosphere: Overview

The biosphere - the thin layer of life encompassing our planet - is under assault. Our activities are disrupting every level of biological organization, from genes to ecosystems. The general response of the biosphere to these impacts is one of simplification, homogenization, and collapse.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/07/29/worst-case-scenario-for-the-biosphere-overview/

Worst-Case Scenario for the Biosphere: Overview

The biosphere – the thin layer of life encompassing our planet – is under assault. Our activities are disrupting every level of biological organization, from genes to ecosystems. The ge…

GarryRogers Nature Conservation

Can We Survive Climate Change?

Even if we somehow achieved global consensus on the need for drastic action (which seems highly unlikely given current geopolitical tensions), the scale of transformation required is staggering.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/07/25/can-we-survive-climate-change/

Can We Survive Climate Change?

Even if we somehow achieved global consensus on the need for drastic action (which seems highly unlikely given current geopolitical tensions), the scale of transformation required is staggering.

GarryRogers Nature Conservation

We Can’t Reverse Global Warming

To meaningfully reverse warming, we'd need to remove hundreds of gigatons (one billion tons) of CO2 from the atmosphere (Rubin et al. 2012). Current carbon capture technologies are woefully inadequate (Prieto 2021, Rosa et al. 2020, Lai et al. 2021)). They're energy intensive, expensive, and nowhere near the scale required (Le Moullec 2012). It's like trying to empty the ocean with a teaspoon.

http://garryrogers.com/2024/07/22/we-cant-reverse-global-warming/

We Can’t Reverse Global Warming

To meaningfully reverse warming, we’d need to remove hundreds of gigatons (one billion tons) of CO2 from the atmosphere (Rubin et al. 2012). Current carbon capture technologies are woefully i…

GarryRogers Nature Conservation