Philippe J. Fournier

709 Followers
47 Following
125 Posts
Writer/Poll analyst for Politico & L’actualitΓ© magazine, creator of 338Canada & Qc125, physics prof, πŸ³οΈβ€πŸŒˆπŸ³οΈβ€βš§οΈally

338Canada federal update | November 5, 2023

Details β†’ https://338canada.com/federal.htm

Find your district β†’ https://338canada.com/districts.htm

338Canada Canada | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections

Conservatives take a 16-point lead in latest @pallasdata federal poll.

My latest for 338Canada β†’ https://www.338canada.ca/p/pallas-data-conservatives-lead-liberals

Pallas Data: Conservatives Lead Liberals by 16 points

New federal poll puts Pierre Poilievre's CPC ahead in every polling region

338Canada.ca

Look for brand new federal numbers from @pallasdata tomorrow morning on 338Canada.ca πŸ“Š

Get them in your inbox as soon as they're out by subscribing (for free!) to 338Canada πŸ“©

https://www.338canada.ca/

338Canada.ca | Philippe J. Fournier | Substack

Canadian politics by the numbers. 🍁 Subscribe to 338Canada for in-depth analysis of polling data, electoral maps, and Canada's ever-changing political landscape. Click to read 338Canada.ca, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.

From yesterday, my latest for 338Canada:

Conservatives take a 12-point lead in the aggregate: https://www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday-update-liberals-keep-sinking

338 Sunday Update: Liberals Keep Sinking

Polling suggests Poilievre's CPC inching towards "Mulroney territory"

338Canada.ca

338Canada federal projection update | October 15, 2023

Analysis β†’ https://www.338canada.ca/p/liberals-in-free-fall-cpc-widens

Details β†’ https://338canada.com/federal.htm

Liberals in Free Fall, CPC widens lead

Mid-October projection has Conservatives leading by an average of 100 seats over Liberals, well into majority territory

338Canada.ca
Catch all the latest updates here β†’ https://338canada.com/
Welcome to 338Canada

With recent polling putting the Conservatives at/near majority territory, optimism ran high at CPC convention in Quebec City

My latest, with updated projections β†’ https://www.338canada.ca/p/tons-of-optimism-on-cpc-convention

Tons of Optimism on CPC Convention Floor in Quebec City

With enthusiasm at stratospheric levels, the next two years will fell like an eternity for CPC hopefuls

338Canada.ca

Mid-term slump or insurmountable momentum shift for the Liberals? The latest numbers look increasingly dire for Justin Trudeau, my latest for 338Canada:

https://www.338canada.ca/p/abrupt-late-summer-shift-polls-now

Abrupt Late-Summer Shift: Polls Now Put CPC in Majority Territory

Mid-term slump or insurmountable momentum shift for the Liberals? The latest numbers look increasingly dire for Justin Trudeau

338Canada.ca

New column from Polling Canada on 338Canada:

"Would you be more or less likely to vote for the NDP if it had a different leader than Jagmeet Singh?"

43% Less likely
28% More likely
30% Unsure

β†’ https://www.338canada.ca/p/the-wayward-soul-of-the-new-democrats

The Wayward Soul of the New Democrats

Recent Pallas polling says most would be less likely to vote NDP if Singh was replaced

338Canada.ca
Summer surge continues for the Conservatives

Polling from Pallas Data gives 9-point edge to Pierre Poilievre's Conservatives, while Liberal voters appear split on Trudeau as an asset

338Canada.ca