Need a new car. My old one is 12y old and has 210k km. Been back and forth between going electric now and finding a temp solution. Temp because I believe that it'll be about 3-4 years until going electric is a no-brainer. But until then things will massively shift every year and I'd like some stability. My solution: lease sth for 4 years to bridge the gap. Something in the middle. It'll be a Hyundai Ioniq hybrid. Enough bells & whistles. Anyone wanna buy my 12 year old Mini Cooper S convertible?
@chrismarquardt wouldn't it be cheaper to buy something that retains its value and sell after 4 years?
@Angostura it's a gamble on the possibility that on 4 years it'll be hard to sell a car with an internal combustion engine. Used ICE car prices will go down sooner or later and i have the suspicion that we're at the beginning of an exponential development that'll drastically speed up. I might be off by a few years but I have no doubt we'll get there soon-ish.
@chrismarquardt Yup, I think adoption will be patchy, and you won't have trouble selling ICE for a long time. For example, I live in an urban house with only on-street parking. I would love an electric car, but I don't see how I'll be getting one in the next 20 years, assuming I dont move. Unless full-charge gets to the sub-10 minute mark
@Angostura I expect the opposite to become reality. Renewable energy prices fall, batteries improve, charging will be easy and quick and much sooner than most think driving an EV will be cheaper than an ICE. Result: ICEs will drop in value and used ICEs won't sell. More automation and less need to own your own car will accelerate this even more. How quick? Nobody knows.
@chrismarquardt I hope you're right. Not letting go of my 1972 MG though 🏎
@Angostura pretty sure you won't have to. I guess there will always be exceptions for old cars, but they'll probably make you pay for it though ;)