Just seems like if you're a shitbag oil executive, who has a button that starts an oil war, and if that war goes poorly you get more money for your oil, and if that war goes well you get more oil which is in turn worth money, there's not much incentive for you to not press that button as often as fucking possible and wow I think that's literally how to explain US foreign policy in its entirety after the fall of the Berlin Wall actually.