“What to know about the predictions for a potentially record-breaking El Niño” by Jennifer Mcdermott for the @apnews. The article provides some very helpful context, but I would take issue with the headline. It is entirely unclear we’re going to see a “record-breaking El Niño”. The current consensus forecast is for a Niño3.4 value of similar magnitude to 2023/2024 (~2.0C) & much smaller than 2015/2016 (~2.7C). The article closes with the key larger point (courtesy of yours truly).




