Doug Bostrom

No worries. We need only rely on flawless human nature.

#OrbitalDebris

https://scitechdaily.com/2-8-days-to-disaster-scientists-warn-low-earth-orbit-could-suddenly-collapse/

2.8 Days to Disaster: Scientists Warn Low Earth Orbit Could Suddenly Collapse

A new study warns that if satellite operators suddenly lose control during a major disruption, a catastrophic collision in orbit could happen in as little as 2.8 days.

SciTechDaily
Apr 29 at 1:54amWeb
Show threadProf. Sam LawlerApr 29

@Doug_Bostrom Oh hey, I'm a co-author on that study!

Paper here: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.09643

Website with updated values over time here: https://outerspaceinstitute.ca/crashclock/

Show threadDoug BostromApr 29

@sundogplanets

This strikes me as a refined take [much improved and fleshed-out modeling] on the "spherical cow" treatment by #JASON. Is that about right, sort of?