Sven-Erik VolbergApr 23
Solid question arised. What is russian AD system production rates? It is challenging because official figures are state secrets. However, based on intelligence reports, satellite monitoring of factory expansions, I can provide the following estimates. 🧵 1/

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:jgvcogxgfeplj7g3tfov7iro/post/3mk6afyfaxk2l
Show threadSven-Erik Volberg
#Pantsir -S1/S2 4–6 units per month so 50-70 units per year. Highly prioritized for domestic "point defense" against drones. Belarus has assisted by providing MZKT chassis. 2/
Apr 23 at 3:33pmWeb
Show threadSven-Erik VolbergApr 23
Buk-M3 2–3 units per month or 25–35 units per year. Essential for frontline theater defense; these have the highest loss rate of all medium-range systems. 3/
Show threadSven-Erik VolbergApr 23
Long-range systems. S-400 Triumf ~1–2 batteries per month. 15–20 batteries per year. A "battery" usually consists of 4-8 launchers. Production is steady but hampered by high-end chip shortages due to sanctions. 4/
Show threadSven-Erik VolbergApr 23
S-500 Prometey 4 units per year? Extremely low-volume "boutique" production; primarily for defending Moscow and silo-based ICBM sites. So even with maximum estimates, less than half of needed. Add radars, add missiles. 5/end
Show threadSven-Erik VolbergApr 23
Shameless plug but if anyone wants to chip in with sat info, feel free to tip the fund ko-fi.com/svenerikvolb...

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Show threadSven-Erik VolbergApr 23
P.S some context bsky.app/profile/volb...

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:jgvcogxgfeplj7g3tfov7iro/post/3mk6juwwg222h
Show threadSven-Erik VolbergApr 23
Other context. Ukraine has destroyed absurd amounts in total. Like absurd amounts. Iran has done what, 4 radars 0 systems and West thinks it's end times... www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/atta...