Opinion: This Might Be the Most Economically Destabilizing War in Decades

Now that the United States and Iran have declared a two-week cease-fire, the question is whether the war’s economic disruption will be short-lived or lasting. The lessons from history are sobering: In an interdependent global economy, the shock of the outbreak of war can produce long-term instabilities overnight, many of which become apparent only over time.

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Opinion | I Studied the Economic Fallout From World War I. This Could Be Worse Than We Expect.

Even if this cease-fire holds, the war’s shocks may last for years.

The New York Times