CassandrichMar 28

Hmm, prediction markets are evil in general and I'm pretty much entirely opposed to their existence.

But it would be kinda hilarious to bet huge amounts of money that a 2048-bit RSA key won't be cracked by 2050.

Show threadDemi Marie Obenour12h ago
@dalias When it comes to quantum computing, I don’t recommend betting against Scott Aaronson. When it comes to cryptographic algorithm selection, I don’t recommend betting against Filippo Valsorda.
Quantum computing bombshells that are not April Fools

For those of you who haven’t seen, there were actually two “bombshell” QC announcements this week. One, from Caltech, including friend-of-the-blog John Preskill, showed how to do quantum faul…

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Show threadCassandrich12h ago
@alwayscurious I might be more inclined to agree if there were any examples of him being right about something in this domain.
Show threadDemi Marie Obenour11h ago
@dalias I’d rather not bet against @filippo either.
Show threadCassandrich11h ago
@alwayscurious @filippo It's a very reasonable hedge from a cryptographic strategy perspective. I don't see disagreement as "betting against him". The nature of a hedge is that he's right either way. I just don't see the hedge as necessary, and that's from a physics perspective not a crypto perspective.
Show threadDemi Marie Obenour
@dalias @filippo I generally prefer to follow the recommendations of the Go stdlib crypto maintainer, but I see your point.
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