The headline is a remarkably rosy spin on it when the subheading is "Research shows that ranks of higher earners have grown markedly over last 50 years, while lower rungs of middle class have shrunk". The article is behind a paywall but it makes it sound like inequality is increasing.

Pretty much. It's reiterating an observation of mine [0] that we now live in a K-shaped economy where the 70th percentile and above are distinct from the 50th percentile and below.

Most HNers and their social peers are in the 70th percentile and above.

[0] - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47064222

Circular Transactions mean something else and are orthogonal to this conversatio... | Hacker News

That's the whole point. When people hear "the middle class is shrinking" they intuitively believe people are slipping down a rung and joining the ranks of the working poor. The data doesn't back that up. The middle class is shrinking, but more people are moving up a rung than falling down one.

Which isn't to say that you're wrong about wealth inequality increasing. The share of wealth controlled by the ultra wealthy IS increasing, but the specifics of how that is playing out are nuanced and, at times, counter-intuitive.

But, Doctor, the data does back that up. The US middle class is shrinking, and most of the shrinkage is on the low end. There's no mystery about this, only potential for distractions.

> more people are moving up a rung than falling down one.

How do you figure that? Do we have any data that backs that up?

The economy is not a zero-sum game. Inequality doesn't materially harm anyone as long as it's caused by the rich (or middle class in this case) getting richer and not by the poor getting poorer.

Obviously if the poor got richer too that would be even better (that's a whole other discussion), but that they didn't doesn't make this bad news unless you're the kind of jealous person who hates hearing about other people's success.

My son graduates college next month. Although he has an ok job lined up, he and most of his cohorts are incredibly pessimistic about the future and I'm not sure I can say that I blame them.
I don't know a single young person who has entertained any hope of owning a decent house at any point in the next 20 years.
Also, more Americans are living in poverty. But don’t look over there.
Doesn't look like it. What's your source? https://www.statista.com/statistics/200463/us-poverty-rate-s...
Poverty rate U.S. 2024| Statista

In 2024, approximately 10.6 percent of the population was living below the national poverty line in the United States.

Statista

Poverty line is different from living paycheck-to-paycheck.

The growth is not dramatic, but steady over time:

https://institute.bankofamerica.com/content/dam/economic-ins...

> Research shows [...]

In American mice, perhaps.

As someone that thinks of myself as a low-caste, middle class American it's interesting seeing all of these people listed in the article making less than me

the thing that doesn't compute for me is that the definition of upper middle class here is 5-15x the federal poverty line, ok, but in 1970 the federal poverty line was like ~$3k (and ~$22k today) 10x in 1970 (~33k/year) in nyc you could buy a 2,000 sqft apt for like 2.75x your salary [1] today, that same apartment is like >10x - so while perhaps more people are earning "upper middle class" incomes, what that gets you has declined significantly.

[1]https://www.elikarealestate.com/blog/tracing-buying-real-est...

Analyzing 100 Years of Real Estate Price History in Manhattan

ELIKA New York