I don't think AI will ever be "gone". We can't put the slop genie back in the bottle. But what WILL happen, it Has to happen, is that the costs per token will skyrocket as the free money runs out. There's just no other economics way for this to happen. And then all the slop engineers are going to discover: they don't know how to code without burning a million tokens a day, and all those tokens are costing more than double their salaries. So employers are going to discover: we can just hire 3 people for the price of one slop engineer and all their tokens.
@JessTheUnstill What do you think about the potential for smaller, powerful models in the future (like another deepseek moment)?
@leuven I don't know enough about the AI tech in specific to say, tbh. Maybe exponential improvements will be invented. But either way, we have all these tech giants now saddled with trillions in debt and stockholder expectations and GPUs and data centers. Something has gotta give.

@JessTheUnstill @leuven I wrote a bit about the underlying economic problem that persists even if prices don't go up:

https://cs.wellesley.edu/~pmwh/advice/aiProductivity.html

TL;DR: the more effective you are at using "AI" to "increase productivity" the more likely you are to get fired and replaced by "AI."

aiProductivity