The threat is comfortable drift toward not understanding what you're doing
The threat is comfortable drift toward not understanding what you're doing
The thing is, agents aren’t going away. So if Bob can do things with agents, he can do things.
I mourn the loss of working on intellectually stimulating programming problems, but that’s a part of my job that’s fading. I need to decide if the remaining work - understanding requirements, managing teams, what have you - is still enjoyable enough to continue.
To be honest, I’m looking at leaving software because the job has turned into a different sort of thing than what I signed up for.
So I think this article is partly right, Bob is not learning those skills which we used to require. But I think the market is going to stop valuing those skills, so it’s not really a _problem_, except for Bob’s own intellectual loss.
I don’t like it, but I’m trying to face up to it.
> So if Bob can do things with agents, he can do things.
The problem arrises when Bob encounters a problem too complex or unique for agents to solve.
To me, it seems a bit like the difference between learning how to cook versus buying microwave dinners. Sure, a good microwave dinner can taste really good, and it will be a lot better than what a beginning cook will make. But imagine aspiring cooks just buying premade meals because "those aren't going anywhere". Over the span of years, eventually a real cook will be able to make way better meals than anything you can buy at a grocery store.
The market will always value the exact things LLMs can not do, because if an LLM can do something, there is no reason to hire a person for that.
The correct distinction is: if you can't do something without the agent, then you can't do it.
The problem that the author describes is real. I have run into it hundreds of times now. I will know how to do something, I tell AI to do it, the AI does not actually know how to do it at a fundamental level and will create fake tests to prove that it is done, and you check the work and it is wrong.
You can describe to the AI to do X at a very high-level but if you don't know how to check the outcome then the AI isn't going to be useful.
The story about the cook is 100% right. McDonald's doesn't have "chefs", they have factory workers who assemble food. The argument with AI is that working in McDonald's means you are able to cook food as well as the best chef.
The issue with hiring is that companies won't be able to distinguish between AI-driven humans and people with knowledge until it is too late.
If you have knowledge and are using AI tools correctly (i.e. not trying to zero-shot work) then it is a huge multiplier. That the industry is moving towards agent-driven workflows indicates that the AI business is about selling fake expertise to the incompetent.