A $20/month user costs OpenAI $65 in compute. AI video is a money furnace

https://aedelon777.substack.com/p/i-did-the-math-on-sora-ai-video-is

I Did the Math on Sora. AI Video Is a Money Furnace.

OpenAI killed its most hyped product since ChatGPT. The reason has nothing to do with product quality. It’s structural economics.

Aedelon Press

The title is misleading. It should be read as “Some $20/month users who made videos on Sora costed OpenAI $65 in compute.”

OpenAI is most definitely in a position to be profitable. They are spending less than a third of their revenue on compute (all infrastructure costs combined).

Yeah fair, the $65 is for someone cranking out 50 clips/month. Most users were probably doing 5-10, so more like $6.50-$13 in compute. That's fine at $20/month.

Doesn't change the bigger picture much though. OpenAI's at $25B annualized revenue and still projecting $14B in losses for 2026. Sora wasn't the only problem, just the most obvious one.