@lproven @bsdphk I am not sure I understand what hsi conclusion is? Are he saying that the main problem with AI tools of today is that we had expected more and if we could let of go of those expectations, we would be able to understand the utility of said tools? In other words, skeptics are just holding it wrong?

His opening however does track. I do not know of anbybody, that does not have an obvious vested interest in the opposite, that believes current AI technologi trajectory leads to AGI.

@mapcar @bsdphk My take is this:

As the models get bigger and more complex, they'll be able to do more and increasingly "clever" tricks, without ever becoming any smarter. There is no smartness there to improve. Doubling zero still yields zero.

But this will get ever-harder to demonstrate to the True Believers, who think that they minds in boxes.