I'm pretty satisfied at this point that the true extent of "AI" use in software development has been massively exaggerated.

Sure, lots of devs are using LLMs. But there seems to be very little advanced use. It's mostly chat window stuff and occasional inline completion, to keep the boss happy.

It is, however, a massive distraction.

Developers have a significant incentive to exaggerate their use of the technology.

The story I keep hearing from devs is that they tried doing the agentic stuff, looked at the results, and recoiled in horror.

And while there's no shortage of people trying to get it to work at scale, I've seen no credible evidence that *anybody* has cracked it.

So big claims, for sure. But backed up by nothing.

@jasongorman The problem is that it's good enough for greenfield code that is "90% complete"

I haven't seen any LLM generated code maintenance on long term projects