Cassandrich15h ago
Folks do realize the people telling you QC will be a thing and break RSA and EC are exactly the same folks who were telling you AGI will be a thing, who were the exact same folks telling you the metaverse is the next big thing, who are the exact same folks telling you NFTs would take off, who were the exact same folks telling you bitcoin would replace Visa, who were....
Show threadLaurent Bercot13h ago

@dalias There's a difference though; the theory is not bullshit, the obstacles to QC are practical. Given infinite time to work on this (which we don't have, fossil fuel and rare metal reserves will depleted in ~20 years and we'll be lucky to still have a civilization in 50) a real quantum computer could be built; whereas the foundation for the other bubbles was pure hype built on wind and astroturfing.

But it doesn't change anything in practice, QC won't happen. We'll reach cold fusion first. 😔

Show threadLisPi

@ska @dalias

rare metal reserves will depleted in ~20 years

That mostly turns the scrapyards and landfills into the new reserves though. We're not shoving those materials into antimatter experiments after all.

we'll be lucky to still have a civilization in 50

That seems oddly pessimistic.

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