Well, that's depressing

"Iranian physicists estimate advanced civilizations last 5,000 years or less"

[H/T @geistweg]

https://boingboing.net/2026/03/03/iranian-physicists-estimate-advanced-civilizations-last-5000-years-or-less.html

Iranian physicists estimate advanced civilizations last 5,000 years or less

The Fermi Paradox describes a contradiction: stars and planets are abundant, but there is no obvious evidence of life beyond our solar system. The Drake equation presented a method for…

Boing Boing

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I prefer to think we are being avoided as an interstellar backwater full of reprehensible behavior

Or, I guess, I wouldn't really mind if we were early

@e I know statistically there should be others. But the details of the universe are so frilly and fractal and evanescent. And for some reason I feel like intelligence or even sentience is a human obsession, not even necessarily that significant. I don't even know where I'm going with this. But something about it nags at me.

@_L1vY_ Meh. The Fermi Paradox relies on so many anthropocentric assumptions that it's just another variation of "science can't explain how a bee flies." It requires us to assume that all so-called advanced civilizations develop electromagnetic broadcasting, that they are constantly broadcasting information, that information is decipherable by us, and that they never, ever stop broadcasting. You can't even say that about Earth.

It is far, far more likely that no one is speaking in a way we can hear than that there's no one out there.