Al
Tim BrayThis is horrible: Heat deaths will spike in the poor countries that mostly didn't pump the CO2 into the atmosphere. To the extent there are any climate benefits from the temperature ramp, it'll come to people like me in cool climates, the ones who are mostly responsible for all that CO2.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-25/future-heat-danger-differs-starkly-for-rich-and-poor-countries [paywalled sorry]
wb x64
Dan Connolly@timbray yeah; I think https://www.ted.com/talks/mary_robinson_why_climate_change_is_a_threat_to_human_rights , a 2015 talk by Mary Robinson, is when #climate #justice mostly hit my radar.
There's a trillion dollars of oil under ground that we have to write off. I don't see that happening. What I expected was: the poor would eventually pick up sticks and rocks, and the rich would bomb them.
Turns out: the poor have become climate refugees, and the rich have used xenophobia to fuel authoritarianism. The resource wars are coming, though: Ukraine and Iran.
The UNDP and World Bank reports for 2026 estimate that by 2050:
- Water Scarcity will drive 40% of all new intrastate conflicts.
- Migration (Climate Refugees) will increase by 200%.
Mary Robinson: Why climate change is a threat to human rights
@timbray re #water: on my list of #movies to watch since TedXKC 2024: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Grab
CM Harrington@timbray Here's a non-paywalled version: https://archive.ph/NFZCy
Ed Wiebe@timbray It is horrible. And we (climate scientists) have been warning about this for decades.
Excess heat has already hit us here in our idyllic little corner of Canada. The 2021 heat dome killed more than 600 vulnerable people.
There are no benefits of climate change to anyone anywhere.
IPCC Second Assessment WG2 1995 ยง 12.4.2.4
"Heat waves appear to increase overall death rates, even in acclimatized populations."