I just realized that what Trump is doing with the financial markets is spending down his trust capital. right now, a certain number of traders react when he says something, but every time he tells a lie, the reaction is less and the reversal comes faster. we are approaching a perilous point where "the markets" don't believe any communication coming out of the federal government, and that is **extremely dangerous** for when we really do need the feds to speak out and calm markets.
@peter the markets and maga are the only ones who seem to still believe him. I’m genuinely astonished by this CNN analysis from their front page because it’s so straightforward, no sanewashing https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/26/politics/trump-iran-peace-talks-us-troops-analysis
If Trump’s diplomacy fails, the Iran war could get much worse

Iran doesn’t seem to be susceptible to the art of the deal.

CNN
@peter this is super long but exactly the kind of game theory-ish analysis I’ve been looking for. Ti;dr: only one can win but everyone can lose https://acoup.blog/2026/03/25/miscellanea-the-war-in-iran/
Miscellanea: The War in Iran

This post is a set of my observations on the current war in Iran and my thoughts on the broader strategic implications. I am not, of course, an expert on the region nor do I have access to any spec…

A Collection of Unmitigated Pedantry
@mkristensson @peter "But the result was that by bombing the Iranian nuclear facilities in June of 2025, the Trump administration created a situation where merely by launching a renewed air campaign on Iran, Israel could force the United States into a war with Iran at any time."
@mkristensson @peter Except they give the war the wrong name, it's called "Epstein War".