JumpCrisscrossMar 23

American Aviation Is Near Collapse

https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/2026/03/aviation-failures-tsa-dhs-shutdown/686505/

American Aviation Is Near Collapse

Fatal crashes, overstressed controllers, and endless security lines reveal a system teetering on the brink of failure.

The Atlantic
Show threadmikkupikkuMar 23
I'm not saying the article's thesis is wrong, much of it rings true to me, but we have very comprehensive data and statistics concerning air travel so I'm deeply unimpressed by this article instead hanging its argument on a hodgepodge list of incidents instead of digging into the data to get some proper numbers.
Show threadhappytoexplainMar 23
We have "very comprehensive data and statistics" indicating that US aviation is not nearing collapse? I don't understand what you mean.
Show threadn_uMar 23

I think they mean they would prefer more rigorous statistical analysis.

"Rigor cleans the window through which intuition shines" - Ellis Cooper

Show threadHPsquaredMar 23
"Collapse" isn't within the statistical distribution though, so you'd still to apply judgement in any case.
I suppose it's a word with many definitions.
Show threadKK7NIL

> "Collapse" isn't within the statistical distribution though

Uh? Maybe you could explain what you mean by this a bit more.

Mar 23 at 8:59pmWeb
Show threadHPsquaredMar 23

1. It's not a rigorously defined term.

2. "System collapse" would be unexplored territory, so how would statistical analysis be able to infer when it occurs?

Show threadKK7NILMar 23

1. Not really. If the crash rates we're seeing under the Trump administration are higher than any similar length period in the last ~10 years, we should start to worry.

2. See above.

Show threadsplitstudMar 23
[dead]