The case against ai “fast takeoff”

https://www.interconnects.ai/p/lossy-self-improvement

Unpredictable chaos develops over years, not weeks. That’s the optimistic case now.

#jgshare

Lossy self-improvement

The case for why self-improvement is real but it doesn't lead to fast takeoff.

Interconnects AI

@jgordon that was a good summary of competing factors. The original concept of The Singularity hinges on superhuman intelligence. Now we face the possibility of a lesser singularity supported by lesser intelligences (human and machine).

I linked earlier to an options trading experiment in which voting by fallible AIs made possible a "don't know" output. Not only that, a "do nothing" signal.

Things like that might allow progress without excess risk.