Trump mulls 'winding down' war and leaving Strait of Hormuz crisis to 'other nations'
He says other nations will have to guard and police the Strait of Hormuz as necessary, after his attacks on the country prompted Iran to target vessels in the crucial world shipping lane. Mark Stone analyses the Truth Social post.
So that means he is gonna attack Kharg Island, doesn’t it? Or launch a ground invasion elsewhere in Iran?
He likes to do this stupid transparent 4D chess stuff to try and keep people off balance
America: I’ve had enough.
Iran: I didn’t hear no bell.
They have no reason to start letting US ships through the strait and America has no ability to stop them.
The nationality of the ships isn’t important.
Anyway, Iran won’t keep antagonizing the entire world if their existence isn’t at risk. They haven’t been acting like crazy.
supreme leader and all the other high ups in a vulnerable location knowing this was going to break out into war
US negotiation meetings were scheduled for the next monday. He was very old, and a succession to his son, would seem an opportunity to fake his martyrdom for national unity, if somehow zionist axis thought this was a good idea to hit his house.
King Charles, relies on thinking it would be a bad idea for US to bomb Buckingham Palace for his security.
Israel attacked them in the last war when they were in peace negotiations. So that talks were scheduled is no excuse for not practicing good opsec for their leadership. King Charles isn’t under threat of attack by the US and Israel so I don’t see how that is a good analogy. Iran’s supreme leader was almost assassinated last war, they knew, or should have known, they were going to do it.
If it’s just about his martyrdom, why include all the other higher ups, and his son? Perhaps the Iranian hardliners tipped off the Israelis is where I’m going with this. I don’t necessarily think the hardliners are wrong at this point don’t get me wrong, this war was going to happen, and the old guard doesn’t quite get it.
King Charles isn’t under threat of attack by the US
50/50 on whether it would increase UK sycophancy to US, even though it was unreasonable to expect Iran to be “convinced of US’s force for good” from their attack. The point that the attack only results in loss of prestige/attitudes towards US is the reason to not worry about “the surprise attack”.
Shorter answer, in hindsight this turned out not to be the most self-preserving decision. It’s not a complicated conspiracy.
I knew Israel was going to try to kill the Supreme leader
The only reason to do so is to make sure Iran doesn’t surrender, and to ensure that Iranian people back IRGC retaliation. If you knew this, then you know that Israel are just subhuman POS, that made this their objective. Sometimes Zionazi axis pretends that it would like a new liberal loving Iran instead of an angry Iran.
Marines have not been deployed to Kharg yet, unless I missed something.
What you’re seeing here is just classic Trump, utterly indecisive, utterly lacking in any ability to make long term plans. This is why he doesn’t like war; it demands long term planning and punishes impulsivity (at least at the strategic level).
Currently he’s stuck between two bad options. He can abandon the fight, or he can go all in. Both choices hurt him, just in different ways. And because he’s a creature of pure id who craves constant adulation and approval, he’s doing what he usually does and sounding those choices out in public to see what plays / feels best.
“Someone else shat in my bed, good thing I have servants to clean it up.”
He’d never take responsibility.
If America pulls out, what would happen to Israel?
Would they continue? Can they take on Iran alone and bring the regime change they keep promising?
Would the US just give them guns and ammunition to continue?
We know that if Israel wanted to take Iran solo, they would have already done that. This might blow up in Bibi’s face.
If you’re iran, what’s stopping you from charging a toll for anyone using the strait?
Oh, you want your oil tanker to leave the gulf? That’ll be one million dollars.
Make an exemption for oil traded in non-usd for maximum fun.
This is current state of shipping in SoH. Everyone who goes through has some deal with Iran to pass safely. Iran has offered an “Islamic assembly” (UN/NATO like) peace deal for neighbours. Backup plan if GCC does not ally with Iran is to keep the toll system.
Oh, you want your oil tanker to leave the gulf? That’ll be one million dollars.
One ship reportedly paid Iran $BritishPounds2B to go through. $ and Euro are worthless to Iran because of corrupt banking system. All payments in CNY already.
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