Mastodawn

Sea ice is a record low for this time of year in the #Arctic (see https://zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-ice-extentconcentration/).

One of the drivers of this is related to an extreme event ongoing in the Sea of Okhotsk, where current conditions are not even close to any other year in our satellite record (similar to May). Yikes!

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Strider Uwe 🇺🇦🇨🇦🇲🇽

@ZLabe What’s your guess for when we first see an ice-free arctic ocean? I have been wet-finger guessing 2035 for a few years now. I kept seeing IPCC(?) estimates get earlier and earlier… first the 70s, then the 60s, then the 50s…

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Zack Labe 1d ago

@UweHalfHand Check out this overview on the challenges in making this prediction: https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/when-will-the-arctic-see-its-first-ice-free-summer/index.html

Interactive: When will the Arctic see its first ice-free summer?

Since satellites first began monitoring the Arctic in 1979, the average area covered by sea ice has shrunk by at least 40%.

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Strider Uwe 🇺🇦🇨🇦🇲🇽1d ago

@ZLabe Thank you! An interesting read