Mastodawn

State Election in South Australia today!

If you live in South Australia, be sure to vote with a conscience, and get yourself a Democracy Sausage.

Bin Chicken Psephology Polling predicts:
- ALP will phone it in. They're taking it for granted they'll win with a reduced but still comfortable majority. The party have their head in the sand, but will hype it as "Steady as she goes."
- One Nation will steal anything not nailed-down, and grab practically all Coalition seats and marginal Labor seats. They're on track to become the most noisome, extreme-right neo-nazi state or federal Opposition party seen living memory (which, I have to declare, is saying something when you consider Queensland in the late 1960s to the late 1980s, or the recent run by Peter Dutton). It's going to throw the historically left-leaning SA into shock, and present a threat for all state and federal elections in Australia for at least the next 5-10 years, or however long it takes for global Trumpism to crumble. Pauline Hanson will be insufferable the entire time.
- Liberal Party and National Party will, in the slurred words of one poll respondent, "Receive an absolute shellacking."

#AusPol #SAPol #SAVotes #DemocracySausage

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Droppie [infosec] 🐨

5d ago

@BinChicken watching on tonight with #caseybriggs , somewhat east of you [EDIT: oops, not so much you, but SA, i should have said], with keen interest. your

going to throw the historically left-leaning SA into shock

interests / puzzles me. if SA is historically left [a description i have no reason to doubt], then i just don't fathom the apparent surge of phon in the polls, if the populace majority is still left-inclined. purely as a matter of my attempted logic, not any electoral wisdom on my part, it seems that if a fuckhead party surges in polls, then qed a substantial part of SA is no longer "left" [but instead is fuckheady], in which case if tonight the unbearable happens & phon wins actual seats, then wouldn't it logically prove that electoral history has terminally ruptured?

not only in SA, but across these stolen lands, i never can grasp why disgruntled voters turn to RWNJs without policies nor solutions... such voters' illogicity & implicit immorality sicken me.

I've stuck my head inside a cabbage and can say that things are looking very pale green here.

Moved to a box of silverbeet now and the deep green is everywhere.

Will wait here till SA's new Green premier is announced.

Casey Briggs - #CaseyBriggs hmmm memories from the WA election. https://. mastodon.social/@skua/114141088636602436
#AusPol #SAVotes #SAPol

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Bin Chicken 🗑𓅠 5d ago

@skua A Greens Premier would be music to my ears. And, if it's going to happen, SA is the most likely state. I heard some seats are close enough for the Greens to win. I'm a fan of the Greens having the balance of power in the senate.

I'd like to think the Greens are in a good position to appeal to:
- Progressive voters who no longer have the option of "socially-progressive economic-conservative" Liberal candidates.
- Leftwing voters who used to vote Labor but are unhappy that Labor has gone populist centrist or centre-right.

My main concern is: how can the Greens expand their base? Do they have the candidates, advertising budget, or media profile?

One Nation, federally, is riding high on an extraordinary amount of attention from the mainstream media. That federal attention for One Nation, plus the collapse of the federal LNP, appears likely to translate into votes for One Nation in state elections.

media profile?

imo most MSM seem sworn enemies of the greens, which is reprehensible

@skua

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tintinaujapon 4d ago

@BinChicken looking forward to the further humiliation of the Liberal Party until the absence of a viable opposition throughout the country inevitably ushers in Prime Minister Pauline