Genuine question I keep circling back to.

We run prediction models daily. Sometimes a signal comes back at 58% confidence. Sometimes 73%. The spread between "interesting" and "I would mass capital behind this" is surprisingly personal.

Talked to three quant friends last week. One won't look at anything under 80%. Another trades on 60%+ but sizes positions proportionally. Third argues the threshold itself should be dynamic, tied to volatility regime.

At G-Prophet we've been logging where our A