MuskyMelonTrump threatens to ‘blow up’ all of Iran’s South Pars gasfield if Tehran strikes Qatar
This is a massively positive development hidden in Trumpspeak headline. The important part of his tweet was “Israel will never/not hit Iranian energy again”. Gabbard also said “Israel objectives not the same as US”. All of this put the US firmly in a corner if its master violates US objectives (which were also narrowed by Hegseth to navy, missiles, nuclear program).
You should understand this development as a near term omen for peace instead of escalation.
Cause, how?
USA gonna actually, really, seriously, irrevocably, cut Israeli arms supplies? If Israel crosses THAT line (again, after every other line)?
Even if now they will (they wont) but even if, why would Israel believe them? Why would Iran trust them?
Why would Iran trust them?
Instead of JCPOA 2.0, very large volume of cash or Chinese RMB for uranium does not require Iran trust. Just payment in advance.
It’s not a question of Iran trusting Israel to not attack their energy, it’s Iran with the power of destroying triple the energy in the GCC as a response, that forced the US to contain Israel.
What about Israel or Trump behaviour makes you think they choose actions for the reasons YOU see as rational? Why do you presume their goals are ones you agree with (mutual self interest?)
People that believe “zero sum game” consider situations like: “we” lose half, but we make everyone else lose 3/4 = “we” win, so they would totally do that
Where the goals of US is to not make GCC hostile to Israel or the US, they can make a deal on that basis. Where Israel would prefer not to keep getting hit by Iran missiles, as in 12 day war, they too can make a deal, especially if their unlimited US free supply of weapons is threatened.
Iran has complete control over SoH, and survival of GCC. US/Israel war support is based on invulnerability from any consequence.