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This is going to hurt legitimate sideloading way more than actually necessary to reduce scams:

- Must enable developer mode -- some apps (e.g., banking apps) will refuse to operate and such when developer mode is on, and so if you depend on such apps, I guess you just can't sideload?

- One-day (day!!!) waiting period to activate (one-time) -- the vast majority of people who need to sideload something will probably not be willing to wait a day, and will thus just not sideload unless they really have no choice for what they need. This kills the pathway for new users to sideload apps that have similar functionality to those on the Play Store.

The rest -- restarting, confirming you aren't being coached, and per-install warnings -- would be just as effective alone to "protect users," but with those prior two points, it's clear that this is just simply intended to make sideloading so inconvenient that many won't bother or can't (dev mode req.).

The one-day waiting period is so arbitrary. Have they demonstrated any supporting data? We know google loves to flaunt data.

Something like Github's approach of forcing users to type the name of the repo they wish to delete would seem to be more than sufficient to protect technically disinclined users while still allowing technically aware users to do what they please with their own device.

> The one-day waiting period is so arbitrary.

Scammers aren't going to wait on the phone for a day with your elderly parent.

Sure, but what about a 30 minute delay? 1 hour? 2 hour?

24 is just so long.

But also, my expectation is that a scammer is going to just automate the flow here anyways. Cool, you hit the "24 hour" wait period, I'll call you back tomorrow, the next day, or the next day and continue the scam process.

It might stop some less sophisticated spammers for a little bit, but I expect that it'll just be a few tweaks to make it work again.

24 hours is long enough to get them off the phone, and potentially talking to other people who might recognize the scam.

There will be some proportion of people who mention to their spouse/child/friend about how Google called them to fix their phone, and are saved by that waiting period.

Exactly - the idea is to make it harder for scammers to create a false sense of urgency.
This is too long. It's Google locking in users with hostile user practices.

Sure, but wouldn't 35 hours do the same trick? Or 5 hours? Or 10 hours and 28 minutes? :)

The question is, why exactly 24 hours? The argument is that the time limit is set to protect the users and sacrifice usability to do so. So it would be prudent to set the time limit to the shortest amount that will protect the user -> and that shortest amount is apparently 24 hours, which is rather.. suspiciously long and round :)

You've got to pick some time value (if you choose this route at all), and if the goal is to prevent urgency-coercion it needs to be at least multiple hours. An extremely-common-for-humans one seems rather obvious compared to, like, 18.2 hours (65,536 seconds).

Unless you want to pick 1 week. But that's a lot more annoying.

Well, I guess 24 hours gives a good change to include at least one window where a vulnerable person might be able to speak with a trusted contact.

Someone who lives in another timezone or works weird hours etc. Our routines generally repeat on 24hour schedules, so likely to be one point of overlap.

Scammers already will spend multiple days on a scam call. Watch some Kitboga videos, he'll strings them along for a week.

"Google will call you again tomorrow to get you your refund."

There, we've successfully circumvented all of Google's security engineering on this "feature."

Check out this A&E Intervention episode for Greg. They have continuously worked this guy over for months.

https://youtu.be/YIR-nJv_-VA?t=121

They don't mind being patient when they have dozens of other victims in the wait queue.

Intervention: Greg’s Painkiller Addiction and Gambling Obsession Lead to Massive Debt | A&E

YouTube

This is obvious to anyone with a brain. I'm not familiar with scam logistics or the videos you mentioned, and the exact same line you put in quotes is what first came to my mind.

tl;dr of this post is that Google wants to lock down Android and be its gatekeeper. Every other point of discussion is just a distraction.

Brother, there's an entire genre of scamming where the scammers spend months building rapport with their victims, usually without ever asking for anything, before "cashing out". One day is nothing.
Wouldn't a wait time like 2 hours with some jitter make it more difficult for a scammer to pursue the case? People aren't going to be willing to stay on the phone for hours at a time. With 24 hour wait, the scammer could just schedule another call for the next day.

>People aren't going to be willing to stay on the phone for hours at a time.

"Okay, come back to me in a few hours and we'll continue"

Remember, these are already people who took the time to respond. They are invested.

Okay, I'll ring back tomorrow and we'll continue
Right, this friction makes it much harder for a scammer to get away with saying something like, "wire me $10,000 right now or you won't see your child ever again!" as the potential victim is forced to wait 24 hours before they can install the scammer's malicious app, thus giving them time to think about it and/or call their trusted contacts.

The sheer arrogance that you think someone manipulated successfully will just re-think the situation and ask their friends/family. The naivety to assume all scammers are impulsive fools and don't do this for a living, as their primary line of work.

So Google's going to add some nonsense abstraction layer and when this fails to curb the problem after a 24 hour wait, it will be extended more maybe a week, and more information must be collected to release it. We all know how this goes.

Potencial victim's AI agents will wait patiently those 24 hours. In fact it may just wait exactly 24 hours and not one more second.
Goalposts moving, who says this on an official forum?

I think the more important aspect is that people will have 24h to slow down, think, and realize that they are being scammed. Urgency and pressure is one of the top tactics used by scammers.

Scammers will definitely call back the next day to continue. But it is quite possible that by then the victim has realized, or talked to someone who helped them realize that they are being scammed.

There's been some reporting recently where I live about a case of some woman being scammed.

She went to a bank to transfer the scammer money. They told her no. She came back the next day. The police got involved and explained everything to her. Then she came back the next day. After that, she apparently found another location which let her transfer the money.

There's basically zero chance a 24 hour (or any amount of a) cool off period will help these people.

Just because you have one example of someone who would not realize doesn't mean that the number of people who would realize is zero.

It's not one example. The scammers purposefully target people like these. That's their business.

Like, I'm sure there's a small amount of people who normally wouldn't get scammed but fall for it in a panic. But, is that really such a big concern for Google that they absolutely must continue stripping user freedoms from us? Is the current 30s popup which needs 3 confirmations not enough? Will the new one really work?

Yes the most likely to fall are going to be targeted, but if you make that group of people 90% smaller with a delay that is still beneficial.

Whether the feature is beneficial overall is a different story. But helping some people is great even if it doesn't help everyone.

> helping some people is great even if it doesn't help everyone

It's kind of funny, but I very much agree with this. It's just in this case, it's hurting everyone (in ways most don't even realize) so that you can help a few people.

It's like putting everyone in prison, because some people might commit a crime and this would save some victims. A bit of an overreaction, no?

I'm not convinced it's 90% smaller.

>Whether the feature is beneficial overall is a different story.

It's the entore story in my eyes. Hell paved with good intentions (and I don't even think Google's intentions are good).